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Flood inundation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin: Assessing the role of summer monsoon
Journal of Hydrology ( IF 6.4 ) Pub Date : 2022-06-18 , DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128075
Jie Wang , Qiuhong Tang , Xiaobo Yun , Aifang Chen , Siao Sun , Dai Yamazaki

Although it is well known that precipitation and flood pulses in the Langcang-Mekong River Basin (LMRB) are largely impacted by monsoons, it is unclear to what extent flood inundation characteristics (i.e., inundation frequency, depth, area, and timing) in the basin respond to different monsoon types and monsoon combined effect, i.e., the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), the Western North Pacific Monsoon (WNPM), and their combined effect (ISWN). In this study, flood inundation in the LMRB during 1967–2015 was simulated by a hydrological-hydrodynamic model, from which the inundation characteristics were extracted and calculated. The monsoon impact on inundation characteristics was then quantified using the slope from linear regression model. The results show the monsoons and the ISWN overall have a positive impact on inundation frequency, depth, and area, while the inundation timing is usually advanced when the WNPM or the ISWN strengthens but delayed when the ISM strengthens. On average, a unit change in different monsoons can cause, 7.7%–14.2% change in inundation frequency, 5.3%–8.1% change in inundation depth and 4.3 days–5.8 days change in inundation timing for depth, which can also lead to 1.0%–4.3% change in inundation area and 2.8 days–3.8 days change in inundation timing for area. Also, the relative contributions of different monsoons and spatial distributions of the dominant monsoon were discussed. The results indicate different monsoons regulate different inundation characteristics, and suggest the coexistence of monsoon impacts. If the impact of the ISWN is ignored, the WNPM will play a more important role than the ISM in affecting the inundation.



中文翻译:

澜沧江-湄公河流域洪水淹没:评估夏季风的作用

虽然众所周知,澜沧江-湄公河流域(LMRB)的降水和洪水脉冲在很大程度上受到季风的影响,但尚不清楚在多大程度上洪水淹没特征(即淹没频率、深度、面积和时间)盆地对不同季风类型和季风组合效应的响应,即印度夏季风(ISM)、西北太平洋季风(WNPM)及其组合效应(ISWN)。本研究采用水文-水动力模型模拟了 1967-2015 年 LMRB 的洪水淹没,从中提取和计算了淹没特征。然后使用线性回归模型的斜率量化季风对淹没特征的影响。结果表明,季风和 ISWN 总体上对淹没频率、深度、WNPM 或 ISWN 加强时洪水时间通常提前,而 ISM 加强时洪水时间延迟。平均而言,不同季风的一个单位变化可导致淹没频率变化 7.7%~14.2%,淹没深度变化 5.3%~8.1%,淹没深度变化时间变化 4.3 天~5.8 天,也可导致 1.0淹没区域变化 %–4.3%,区域淹没时间变化 2.8 天–3.8 天。此外,还讨论了不同季风的相对贡献和优势季风的空间分布。结果表明,不同的季风调节不同的淹没特征,并表明季风影响并存。如果忽略 ISWN 的影响,WNPM 在影响洪水的过程中将比 ISM 发挥更重要的作用。而淹没时间通常在 WNPM 或 ISWN 加强时提前,而在 ISM 加强时延迟。平均而言,不同季风的一个单位变化可导致淹没频率变化 7.7%~14.2%,淹没深度变化 5.3%~8.1%,淹没深度变化时间变化 4.3 天~5.8 天,也可导致 1.0淹没区域变化 %–4.3%,区域淹没时间变化 2.8 天–3.8 天。此外,还讨论了不同季风的相对贡献和优势季风的空间分布。结果表明,不同的季风调节不同的淹没特征,并表明季风影响并存。如果忽略 ISWN 的影响,WNPM 在影响洪水的过程中将比 ISM 发挥更重要的作用。而淹没时间通常在 WNPM 或 ISWN 加强时提前,而在 ISM 加强时延迟。平均而言,不同季风的一个单位变化可导致淹没频率变化 7.7%~14.2%,淹没深度变化 5.3%~8.1%,淹没深度变化时间变化 4.3 天~5.8 天,也可导致 1.0淹没区域变化 %–4.3%,区域淹没时间变化 2.8 天–3.8 天。此外,还讨论了不同季风的相对贡献和优势季风的空间分布。结果表明,不同的季风调节不同的淹没特征,并表明季风影响并存。如果忽略 ISWN 的影响,WNPM 在影响洪水的过程中将比 ISM 发挥更重要的作用。

更新日期:2022-06-21
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