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Where Has All the Carbon Gone?
Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences ( IF 14.9 ) Pub Date : 2022-05-31 , DOI: 10.1146/annurev-earth-032320-092010
A. Scott Denning 1
Affiliation  

Carbon is among the most abundant substances in the universe; although severely depleted on Earth, it is the primary structural element in biochemistry. Complex interactions between carbon and climate have stabilized the Earth system over geologic time. Since the modern instrumental CO2 record began in the 1950s, about half of fossil fuel emissions have been sequestered in the oceans and land ecosystems. Ocean uptake of fossil CO2 is governed by chemistry and circulation. Net land uptake is surprising because it implies a persistent worldwide excess of growth over decay. Land carbon sinks include (a) CO2 fertilization, (b) nitrogen fertilization, (c) forest regrowth following agricultural abandonment, and (d) boreal warming. Carbon sinks in both land and oceans are threatened by warming and are likely to weaken or even reverse as emissions fall with the potential for amplification of climate change due to the release of previously stored carbon. Fossil CO2 will persist for centuries and perhaps many millennia after emissions cease.

About half the carbon from fossil fuel combustion is removed from the atmosphere by sink processes in the land and oceans, slowing the increase of CO2 and global warming. These sinks may weaken or even reverse as climate warms and emissions fall.

The net land sink for CO2 requires that plants have been growing faster than they decay for many decades, causing carbon to build up in the biosphere over and above the carbon lost to deforestation, fire, and other disturbances.

CO2 uptake by the oceans is slow because only the surface water is in chemical contact with the air. Cold water at depth is physically isolated by its density. Deep water mixes with the surface in about 1,000 years. The deep water does not know we are here yet!

After fossil fuel emissions cease, much of the extra CO2 will remain in the atmosphere for many centuries or even millennia. The lifetime of excess CO2 depends on total historical emissions; 10% to 40% could last until the year 40,000 AD.



中文翻译:

所有的碳都去哪儿了?

碳是宇宙中最丰富的物质之一;尽管在地球上已严重耗尽,但它是生物化学中的主要结构元素。碳与气候之间的复杂相互作用使地球系统在地质时间上保持稳定。自 1950 年代现代仪器 CO 2记录开始以来,大约一半的化石燃料排放已被隔离在海洋和陆地生态系统中。海洋对化石 CO 2的吸收受化学和循环控制。土地净吸收令人惊讶,因为它意味着全球范围内持续增长超过衰退。土地碳汇包括(a)CO 2施肥,(b)施​​氮肥,(c) 农业废弃后的森林再生,以及 ( d ) 北方变暖。陆地和海洋中的碳汇都受到变暖的威胁,随着排放量的下降,碳汇可能会减弱甚至逆转,并且由于先前储存的碳的释放,可能会加剧气候变化。化石 CO 2将持续存在几个世纪,甚至在排放停止后可能存在数千年。

大约一半来自化石燃料燃烧的碳通过陆地和海洋的汇过程从大气中去除,从而减缓了 CO 2的增加和全球变暖。随着气候变暖和排放量下降,这些汇可能会减弱甚至逆转。

CO 2的净土地汇要求几十年来植物的生长速度要快于腐烂速度,这导致生物圈中的碳积累超过了因森林砍伐、火灾和其他干扰而损失的碳。

海洋吸收CO 2很慢,因为只有地表水与空气发生化学接触。深处的冷水因其密度而被物理隔离。深水在大约 1000 年内与地表混合。深水还不知道我们在这里!

在化石燃料排放停止后,大部分额外的 CO 2将在大气中保留几个世纪甚至几千年。过量 CO 2的寿命取决于总的历史排放量;10% 到 40% 可以持续到公元 40,000 年。

更新日期:2022-06-01
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