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Carbon neutrality target in Turkey: Measuring the impact of technological innovation and structural change
Gondwana Research ( IF 6.1 ) Pub Date : 2022-05-12 , DOI: 10.1016/j.gr.2022.04.015
Yanling Xu , Muhammad Umar , Dervis Kirikkaleli , Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo , Mehmet Altuntaş

Climate change and environmental degradation have become the most complex and contentious global concerns in recent decades, despite growing worldwide accords demanding that these serious issues must be addressed urgently. Thus, we assessed the effect of technological innovation, economic growth, structural change, and nonrenewable energy use on CO2 emissions in Turkey using a yearly dataset spanning between 1980 and 2019. The current paper utilized the ARDL bounds test, dynamic ARDL, and Breitung Candelon causality tests to assess these interrelationships. The outcomes of both the ARDL bounds and Bayer and Hanck cointegration tests affirmed evidence of cointegration among the variables. Furthermore, the outcomes of the dynamic ARDL disclosed that economic growth and nonrenewable energy use contribute to the degradation of the environment, while technological innovation stimulates the quality of the environment. Using the approach suggested by Itkonen (2012), the current paper does not confirm the EKC hypothesis. Lastly, the outcomes of the Breitung Candelon causality revealed a feedback causality association between nonrenewable and CO2 emissions, while a unidirectional causality exists from technological innovation, economic growth, and structural change to CO2 emissions. Based on the above findings, we propose that the government of Turkey should restructure its energy sector to address both carbon emissions and production losses by boosting the use of eco-friendly and efficient technologies in the process of production, while also shifting to a more services-based economy.



中文翻译:

土耳其的碳中和目标:衡量技术创新和结构变革的影响

近几十年来,气候变化和环境退化已成为最复杂和最有争议的全球问题,尽管全球范围内越来越多的协议要求必须紧急解决这些严重问题。因此,我们评估了技术创新、经济增长、结构变化和不可再生能源使用对 CO 2的影响使用跨越 1980 年至 2019 年的年度数据集在土耳其排放。当前的论文利用 ARDL 边界测试、动态 ARDL 和 Breitung Candelon 因果关系测试来评估这些相互关系。ARDL 界限和 Bayer 和 Hanck 协整检验的结果都证实了变量之间协整的证据。此外,动态 ARDL 的结果表明,经济增长和不可再生能源的使用会导致环境退化,而技术创新会刺激环境质量。使用 Itkonen (2012) 建议的方法,当前的论文没有证实 EKC 假设。最后,Breitung Candelon 因果关系的结果揭示了不可再生能源和 CO 2之间的反馈因果关系排放,而技术创新、经济增长和结构变化对CO 2排放存在单向因果关系。基于上述发现,我们建议土耳其政府应重组其能源部门,通过在生产过程中促进使用环保和高效技术,同时转向更多的服务,从而解决碳排放和生产损失。基经济。

更新日期:2022-05-12
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