BACKGROUND
A return migration later in life can be seen as a coping strategy to deal with care needs and other difficulties. Understanding these return migrations requires a comprehensive approach that takes previous migrant trajectories into account.

OBJECTIVE
This study aims to investigate how long-term migrant trajectories, other relevant life course factors, and birth cohort impacted the risk of return migration later in life in the period 1900–1994.

METHODS
Using longitudinal data from the Historical Sample of the Netherlands, we combine sequence analysis and continuous-time event history analysis for recurrent events to estimate the effect of migrant trajectories from birth to age 50 and other individual characteristics on the risks of older adults’ return migrations to birth/childhood and adulthood dwelling places; of short-, medium-, and long-distance returns; and of returns to rural and urban dwelling places. We also examine if these risks have changed in the 20th century Netherlands.

RESULTS
We identify nine distinct clusters of internal migrant trajectories based on residential municipality size. Persons with a stepwise migration trajectory are more likely to return later in life to places where they resided during adulthood. Deteriorating health status, low socioeconomic status, or having no partner are associated with a higher propensity to return to a birthplace or childhood dwelling place. However, returns to places of origin or childhood, to places of adulthood, and long-distance migrations decreased over time.



中文翻译：

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应对老龄化：对荷兰晚年国内回归移民的历史纵向研究（作者：Dolores Sesma Carlos、Michel Oris、Jan Kok）

背景
晚年返回移民可以被视为应对护理需求和其他困难的一种应对策略。了解这些回迁需要采用综合方法，将以前的移民轨迹考虑在内。

目的
本研究旨在调查 1900 年至 1994 年期间长期移民轨迹、其他相关生命历程因素和出生队列如何影响晚年返回移民的风险。

方法
使用来自荷兰历史样本的纵向数据，我们结合序列分析和连续时间事件历史分析对反复事件进行评估，以估计从出生到 50 岁的移民轨迹和其他个人特征对老年人返回移民风险的影响到出生/儿童和成年居住地；短、​​中、长距离回报；以及返回农村和城市居住地。我们还研究了这些风险在 20 世纪的荷兰是否发生了变化。

结果
我们根据居住城市规模确定了九个不同的内部移民轨迹集群。具有逐步迁移轨迹的人更有可能在以后的生活中返回他们成年时居住的地方。健康状况恶化、社会经济地位低下或没有伴侣与返回出生地或童年居住地的倾向较高有关。然而，随着时间的推移，返回原籍地或童年地、成年地和长途迁移的人数减少了。