The societal and policy transformations associated with the coronavirus disease pandemic are currently subject of intense academic debate. In this paper, we contribute to this debate by adopting a systemic perspective on policy change, shedding light on the hidden and indirect crisis effects. Based on a comprehensive analysis of policy agenda developments in Germany, we find that the pandemic led to profound shifts in political attention across policy areas. We demonstrate that these agenda gains and losses per policy area vary by the extent to which the respective areas can be presented as relevant in managing the coronavirus disease crisis and its repercussions. Moreover, relying on the analysis of past four economic crises, we also find that there is limited potential for catching up dynamics after the crisis is over. Policy areas that lost agenda share during crisis are unlikely to make up for these losses by strong attention gains once the crisis is over. Crises have hence substantial, long-term and so far, neglected effects on policymaking in modern democracies.

中文翻译：

---

由于冠状病毒病大流行，发生了什么，没有发生什么：政策变化的系统视角

与冠状病毒病大流行相关的社会和政策转变目前是激烈的学术辩论的主题。在本文中，我们通过对政策变化采取系统性视角来为这场辩论做出贡献，阐明隐藏的和间接的危机影响。基于对德国政策议程发展的全面分析，我们发现疫情导致政策领域政治关注的深刻转变。我们证明，每个政策领域的这些议程收益和损失因各个领域在管理冠状病毒病危机及其影响方面的相关程度而异。此外，通过对过去四次经济危机的分析，我们还发现危机结束后追赶动力的潜力有限。在危机期间失去议程份额的政策领域不太可能在危机结束后通过强烈的关注度来弥补这些损失。因此，危机对现代民主国家的决策产生了实质性的、长期的、迄今为止被忽视的影响。