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The impact of COVID-19 on the spatial distribution of shooting violence in Buffalo, NY
Journal of Experimental Criminology ( IF 3.701 ) Pub Date : 2022-01-16 , DOI: 10.1007/s11292-021-09497-4
Gregory Drake 1 , Andrew P Wheeler 2 , Dae-Young Kim 3 , Scott W Phillips 3 , Kathryn Mendolera 4
Affiliation  

Objectives

This paper examines the extent to which hotspots of shooting violence changed following the emergence of COVID-19.

Methods

This analysis uses Andresenʼs Spatial Point Pattern test on 1500 by 1500 foot grid cells, correcting for multiple comparisons, on a 10-year sample of geocoded shooting data from Buffalo New York.

Results

This work finds zero micro-grid cells are not statistically different from pre to post COVID stay at home orders and instead that the observed rise in shootings in the sample appears to be a consistent proportional increase across the city.

Conclusions

These findings provide law enforcement with useful information about how to respond to the recent rise in shooting violence, but additional work is needed to better understand what, among a number of competing theories, is driving the increase.



中文翻译:

COVID-19 对纽约州布法罗枪击暴力空间分布的影响

目标

本文研究了在 COVID-19 出现后枪击暴力热点的变化程度。

方法

该分析使用 Andresen 对 1500 x 1500 英尺网格单元的空间点模式测试,对来自纽约布法罗的 10 年地理编码拍摄数据样本进行了多重比较校正。

结果

这项工作发现,零微电网单元在 COVID 之前和之后的居家令之间没有统计学差异,相反,在样本中观察到的枪击事件增加似乎是整个城市的一致比例增加。

结论

这些发现为执法部门提供了有关如何应对近期枪击暴力增加的有用信息,但还需要做更多的工作来更好地了解在众多相互竞争的理论中是什么推动了这种增加。

更新日期:2022-01-16
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