当前位置: X-MOL 学术Landscape Ecol. Eng. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Climate change risk assessment for the Republic of Korea: developing a systematic assessment methodology
Landscape and Ecological Engineering ( IF 2 ) Pub Date : 2021-12-18 , DOI: 10.1007/s11355-021-00491-6
Young-Il Song 1 , Seunghan Lee 2
Affiliation  

Climate change risks have become a major concern of climate change adaptation, and a systematic risk assessment is required as the first step as well as a key principle of national adaptation policy processes. Although many countries conducted risk assessments, a debate over a systematic assessment process continues, and results of the risk assessment provide limited information to making adaptation policies. Based on a case study of South Korea, this research aims to establish a national-level risk assessment process which includes systematic methodologies given the current limited time/resource and insufficient climate change information. A four-step risk assessment process is proposed: (1) collecting scientific evidence, (2) making list of preliminary risks, (3) making lists of risks and prioritising the risks, (4) categorising the risks. Enough scientific evidence and data about climate change risks of Korea were retained through first two steps, and three components of risk (hazard, exposure, vulnerability) are systematically involved by assessing the magnitude and adaptive capacity of risks. As results of the risks assessment, 93 national-level climate change risks of Korea are identified, and most high priorities in risks have high risk magnitude but low adaptive capacity. This research provided insights for direction of national adaptation policy of each sector by categorising the risks into four categories.



中文翻译:

大韩民国气候变化风险评估:开发系统评估方法

气候变化风险已成为气候变化适应的主要关注点,需要系统的风险评估作为第一步,也是国家适应政策进程的关键原则。尽管许多国家进行了风险评估,但关于系统评估过程的辩论仍在继续,风险评估的结果为制定适应政策提供的信息有限。鉴于当前时间/资源有限且气候变化信息不足,本研究基于韩国的案例研究,旨在建立一个国家级风险评估流程,其中包括系统方法。提出了四步风险评估过程:(1) 收集科学证据,(2) 列出初步风险,(3) 列出风险并确定风险的优先级,(4) 对风险进行分类。前两个步骤保留了足够的韩国气候变化风险的科学证据和数据,通过评估风险的大小和适应能力,系统地涉及风险的三个组成部分(危害、暴露、脆弱性)。根据风险评估结果,确定了韩国93个国家级气候变化风险,其中大多数风险优先级高,但适应能力低。本研究将风险分为四类,为各部门国家适应政策的方向提供了见解。根据风险评估结果,确定了韩国93个国家级气候变化风险,其中大多数风险优先级高,但适应能力低。本研究将风险分为四类,为各部门国家适应政策的方向提供了见解。根据风险评估结果,确定了韩国93个国家级气候变化风险,其中大多数风险优先级高,但适应能力低。本研究将风险分为四类,为各部门国家适应政策的方向提供了见解。

更新日期:2021-12-18
down
wechat
bug