This article examines factors that predict parole decisions in Lithuanian courts. The study state has a two-stage discretionary parole system where applicants are first evaluated through a parole board hearing, and the board’s decision is then reviewed in court. The study sample included 360 court verdicts from various court institutions. Intergroup comparisons suggest that parole boards tend to grant parole more often than courts. The results of regression analysis suggest that courts weigh heavily on the decision made by the parole board as well as the number of misconduct reports, time left to serve and previous parole or probation violations.

中文翻译：

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立陶宛的假释实践：预测法院判决的因素

本文研究了预测立陶宛法院假释决定的因素。研究州有一个两阶段酌情假释制度，申请人首先通过假释委员会听证会进行评估，然后在法庭上审查委员会的决定。研究样本包括来自不同法院机构的 360 份法院判决书。组间比较表明，假释委员会往往比法院更频繁地批准假释。回归分析的结果表明，法院在很大程度上权衡假释委员会的决定以及不当行为报告的数量、剩余服务时间以及之前的假释或缓刑违规行为。