The demographic composition of the U.S. professoriate affects student composition and, thus, the pipeline for professional and managerial jobs. Amid concern about the effects of the COVID-19 crisis on the labor market, much remains unknown about how economic downturns affect faculty hiring and the demographic makeup of hires. We examine the effects of the Great Recession on faculty hiring. That crisis walloped the U.S. academic labor market. Tenure-track hires in four-year colleges and universities declined by 25 percent between 2007 and 2009, recovering slowly through 2015. Hires of black, Hispanic, and Asian American faculty declined disproportionately. Public institutions and research-oriented institutions, which faced the greatest resource challenges and uncertainty about the future, made the biggest cuts in the hiring of people of color. Our findings suggest that financial uncertainty led to a reversal in progress on faculty diversity. Faculty and administrators making hiring decisions in the years following the COVID-19 crisis should be aware of this pattern.

中文翻译：

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危机与不确定性：大衰退是否减少了新教师的多样性？

美国教授的人口构成影响学生构成，从而影响专业和管理工作的渠道。由于担心 COVID-19 危机对劳动力市场的影响，经济衰退如何影响教师招聘和招聘人员的人口构成仍有很多未知数。我们研究了大萧条对教师招聘的影响。这场危机重创了美国学术劳动力市场。2007 年至 2009 年间，四年制学院和大学的终身职位招聘人数下降了 25%，并在 2015 年缓慢恢复。黑人、西班牙裔和亚裔美国教师的招聘人数不成比例地下降。公共机构和研究型机构面临着最大的资源挑战和未来的不确定性，他们在招聘有色人种方面的裁员幅度最大。我们的研究结果表明，财务不确定性导致教师多样性的进展发生逆转。在 COVID-19 危机之后的几年里做出招聘决定的教职员工和管理人员应该意识到这种模式。