This study aimed to identify the problems and challenges facing the resilience of landslide areas using the strategic approach of futures studies (futurology) and its scenarios. Methodologically, this study is novel as it applied the mixed-method (qualitative-quantitative) analysis based on the futures studies approach to explore the efficient resilience scenarios of human settlements against landslide risks in the Kurdistan Province, Iran. This study is original and innovative in terms of thematic aspects as it attempted to provide a new and practical approach to identify the degree of resilience and challenges in the framework of strategic planning in the short, medium, and long terms. The findings of the qualitative phase showed that the most efficient scenario for improving the resilience of human settlements is the preparation scenario. The results of the quantitative phase revealed that the identified propellants for this scenario included improving organizational integrity and crisis management, organizational communication, increasing local institutions and community participation, improving insurance coverage, increasing the education and skills of people against landslide risks, zoning and characterizing high-risk areas, balanced distribution of services at the regional level, and increasing convenient access to transport networks during the crisis. Considering that crisis management before the occurrence of risk is unsuitable for Iran, therefore, identifying the bottlenecks and challenges facing crisis management using a futures studies approach can be an important step to provide affective programmes to solve the problems and predict the impacts of the natural hazards.

中文翻译：

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人类住区抵御滑坡风险的能力：伊朗库尔德斯坦省的案例

本研究旨在利用未来研究（未来学）及其情景的战略方法，确定滑坡地区恢复力面临的问题和挑战。在方法上，这项研究是新颖的，因为它应用了基于未来研究方法的混合方法（定性-定量）分析来探索人类住区对伊朗库尔德斯坦省滑坡风险的有效复原力情景。本研究在主题方面具有原创性和创新性，因为它试图提供一种新的实用方法来确定短期、中期和长期战略规划框架中的复原力和挑战的程度。定性阶段的结果表明，提高人类住区复原力最有效的情景是准备情景。定量阶段的结果表明，该情景确定的推进因素包括改善组织完整性和危机管理、组织沟通、增加当地机构和社区参与、提高保险覆盖率、提高人们对滑坡风险的教育和技能、分区和表征高风险地区、区域层面服务的均衡分布以及在危机期间增加交通网络的便利性。考虑到风险发生前的危机管理不适合伊朗，因此，使用未来研究方法确定危机管理面临的瓶颈和挑战可能是提供解决问题的情感方案和预测自然灾害影响的重要步骤.