This study explored the interaction between visual metacognitive judgments about others and cues related to the workings of System 1 and System 2. We examined how intrinsic cues (i.e., saliency of a visual change) and experience cues (i.e., detection/blindness) affect people’s predictions about others’ change detection abilities. In Experiment 1, 60 participants were instructed to notice a subtle and a salient visual change in a magic trick that exploits change blindness, after which they estimated the probability that others would detect the change. In Experiment 2, 80 participants watched either the subtle or the salient version of the trick and they were asked to provide predictions for the experienced change. In Experiment 1, participants predicted that others would detect the salient change more easily than the subtle change, which was consistent with the actual detection reported in Experiment 2. In Experiment 2, participants’ personal experience (i.e., whether they detected the change) biased their predictions. Moreover, there was a significant difference between their predictions and offline predictions from Experiment 1. Interestingly, change blindness led to lower predictions. These findings point to joint contributions of experience and information cues on metacognitive judgments about other people’s change detection abilities.

本研究探讨了对他人的视觉元认知判断与与系统 1 和系统 2 工作相关的线索之间的相互作用。我们研究了内在线索（即视觉变化的显着性）和体验线索（即检测/失明）如何影响人们的对他人变化检测能力的预测。在实验 1 中，60 名参与者被要求在利用变化盲点的魔术中注意到微妙而显着的视觉变化，然后他们估计其他人会检测到变化的概率。在实验 2 中，80 名参与者观看了该技巧的微妙或突出版本，并要求他们对所经历的变化进行预测。在实验 1 中，参与者预测其他人会比细微变化更容易发现显着变化，这与实验 2 中报告的实际检测一致。在实验 2 中，参与者的个人经验（即，他们是否检测到变化）使他们的预测存在偏差。此外，他们的预测与实验 1 的离线预测之间存在显着差异。有趣的是，变化盲目导致较低的预测。这些发现表明经验和信息线索对其他人变化检测能力的元认知判断的共同贡献。变化盲目导致较低的预测。这些发现表明经验和信息线索对其他人变化检测能力的元认知判断的共同贡献。变化盲目导致较低的预测。这些发现表明经验和信息线索对其他人变化检测能力的元认知判断的共同贡献。