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Long-term labor market returns to upper secondary school track choice: Leveraging idiosyncratic variation in peers’ choices
Social Science Research ( IF 2.617 ) Pub Date : 2021-08-19 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2021.102629
Jesper Fels Birkelund 1 , Herman G van de Werfhorst 2
Affiliation  

Vocational education and training (VET) is theorized to play a dual role for inequality of labor market outcomes: the role of a safety net and the role of socioeconomic diversion. In this paper, we test these hypotheses by examining the long-term labor market returns to track choice in upper secondary education in Denmark using an instrumental variable approach that relies on random variation in school peers’ educational decisions. We report two main findings. First, VET diverts students on the margin to the academic track away from higher-status but not higher-paying occupations. Second, VET protects students on the margin to leaving school from risks of non-employment and unskilled work, also leading to higher earnings. These results suggest that in countries with a highly compressed wage structure, a strong VET system benefits students unlikely to continue to college, while causing few adverse consequences for students on the margin to choosing academic education.



中文翻译:

长期劳动力市场回归高中轨道选择:利用同龄人选择的特殊差异

从理论上讲,职业教育和培训 (VET) 在劳动力市场结果的不平等方面发挥着双重作用:安全网的作用和社会经济转移的作用。在本文中,我们通过检查长期劳动力市场回报来检验这些假设,以使用依赖于学校同伴教育决策的随机变化的工具变量方法来跟踪丹麦高中教育的选择。我们报告了两个主要发现。首先,VET 将边缘学生从地位较高但收入较高的职业转移到学术轨道上。其次,VET 保护处于离开学校边缘的学生免受非就业和非技术性工作的风险,同时也带来更高的收入。这些结果表明,在工资结构高度压缩的国家,

更新日期:2021-08-19
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