Mobile media, which comprise the main features of other media, can potentially influence many social issues. This time-series study aims to investigate the relationship between the mobile penetration rate and the growing divorce rate in Iran from 1995 to 2019. To specify the relationship, women’s participation in the labor force as a powerful social variable affecting the divorce rate was considered and modeled in the analysis. More specifically, the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method was employed to measure the short and long-term relationships. The results indicated a significant positive relationship between the mobile penetration rate and the divorce rate in both short- and long-term periods; however, women’s participation in the labor force was not associated with the divorce rate.

移动媒体包含其他媒体的主要特征，可以潜在地影响许多社会问题。本时间序列研究旨在调查 1995 年至 2019 年伊朗手机普及率与不断上升的离婚率之间的关系。为了具体说明这种关系，考虑了女性参与劳动力作为影响离婚率的强大社会变量，并且在分析中建模。更具体地说，采用自回归分布滞后 (ARDL) 方法来衡量短期和长期关系。结果表明，手机普及率与离婚率在短期和长期均呈显着正相关；然而，妇女参与劳动力与离婚率无关。