Abstract

Offshore oil projects are defined as mega projects that are associated with larger project size, higher complexities with inherent risks, and higher chances of failure in the investment and decision-making processes. These characteristics require significant assessment and acquisition methods in order to reduce failure. Financial analysis is the most widely used method to evaluate offshore oil projects; however, there are several other internal and external factors that affect the overall success of offshore oil projects. A comprehensive approach and advanced tools are required to evaluate factors that can have a significant impact before any investment decisions are made. This paper evaluates the important factors that influence offshore oil project investment decisions as well as score their weight of impact using a multi criteria decision model. A comprehensive literature review was conducted to recognize the complexities of these factors. Four perspectives were identified in order to assess the attributes that are necessary for successful offshore projects. These perspectives are economical, technical, political and environmental and safety. A hierarchical decision model (HDM), along with desirability curves, was implemented to evaluate offshore oil projects in order to improve investment decisions and reduce failure.

摘要

海上石油项目被定义为与更大的项目规模、更高的复杂性和固有风险以及更高的投资和决策过程失败机会相关的大型项目。这些特性需要重要的评估和获取方法，以减少故障。财务分析是评估海上石油项目最广泛使用的方法；然而，还有其他一些内部和外部因素会影响海上石油项目的整体成功。在做出任何投资决策之前，需要一种全面的方法和先进的工具来评估可能产生重大影响的因素。本文评估影响海上石油项目投资决策的重要因素，并使用多标准决策模型对其影响权重进行评分。进行了全面的文献回顾，以认识到这些因素的复杂性。为了评估成功的海上项目所必需的属性，确定了四个观点。这些观点是经济的、技术的、政治的、环境的和安全的。实施分层决策模型 (HDM) 以及期望曲线来评估海上石油项目，以改进投资决策并减少失败。