Understanding the anatomy of drought is important to reduce the drought hazards in arid and semi-arid regions around the globe. This study pertains to disclose the spatio-temporal variability of rainfall over the Kashmir region in all four seasons of a year (winter, spring, summer, and fall) along with Mann–Kendall trend analysis to provide a preferable insight into the rainfall excess and deficit years. We have used the daily precipitation data of five meteorological stations from 1969 to 2014 over the study area. The standard precipitation index (SPI) has been manipulated to investigate the pitfalls of drought years on the agricultural and horticulture production of the Kashmir region. The analysis reveals that the spring season experiences maximum rainy days showing a decreasing trend and the year 1992, as the poorest rainfall year. The following years (1970, 1971, 1977, 1992, 1999, 2000, and 2001) were found to be under-drought with variation in intensity from moderate to extreme over the whole study region. The implications of drought on agriculture have been visible as the drought years have constricted apple and the total production, which in turn drastically harmed the economy of the valley since it is mainly boosted by apple production. This study will help to plan and design the water resource system in such a way as to decrease the potential effect of future drought years on the economy of the valley.

了解干旱的解剖结构对于减少全球干旱和半干旱地区的干旱危害非常重要。这项研究涉及揭示一年中所有四个季节（冬季、春季、夏季和秋季）克什米尔地区降雨的时空变化以及曼-肯德尔趋势分析，以更好地了解降雨过剩和赤字年。我们使用了研究区1969-2014年5个气象站的日降水数据。标准降水指数 (SPI) 已被用于调查干旱年份对克什米尔地区农业和园艺生产的影响。分析表明，春季最大雨天数呈减少趋势，1992年为雨量最少的年份。随后的年份（1970、1971、1977、1992、1999、2000 和 2001 年）被发现在整个研究区域处于干旱状态，强度从中度到极端变化。干旱对农业的影响显而易见，因为干旱年份限制了苹果和总产量，这反过来又严重损害了山谷的经济，因为它主要是由苹果生产推动的。这项研究将有助于规划和设计水资源系统，以减少未来干旱年份对山谷经济的潜在影响。干旱对农业的影响显而易见，因为干旱年份限制了苹果和总产量，这反过来又严重损害了山谷的经济，因为它主要是由苹果生产推动的。这项研究将有助于规划和设计水资源系统，以减少未来干旱年份对山谷经济的潜在影响。干旱对农业的影响显而易见，因为干旱年份限制了苹果和总产量，这反过来又严重损害了山谷的经济，因为它主要是由苹果生产推动的。这项研究将有助于规划和设计水资源系统，以减少未来干旱年份对山谷经济的潜在影响。