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Demand for plug-in electric vehicles across segments in the future vehicle market
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment ( IF 7.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-30 , DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2021.102976
Anders Fjendbo Jensen , Mikkel Thorhauge , Stefan Eriksen Mabit , Jeppe Rich

The electrification of transport systems requires a change in the composition of the vehicle fleet towards higher shares of electric vehicles. A successful transition, however, depends on many factors of which some relate to purchase prices and vehicle features, while others relate to technology and charging infrastructure. This paper analyses the transition towards plug-in electric vehicles. We use data from a large representative Danish stated choice survey. Based on these data, we estimate a mixed logit model that allows for correlated random effects across fuel types and car segments as well as systematic heterogeneity. The results show that correlation and substitution indeed goes across these dimensions. Willingness-to-pay (WTP) measures are estimated for a variety of attributes. These suggest that the WTP for range varies with fuel types, that the possibility for home charging is highly valued, and that CO2 is a significant concern among individuals in the sample.



中文翻译:

未来汽车市场各细分市场对插电式电动汽车的需求

运输系统的电气化需要改变车队的组成,以提高电动汽车的份额。然而,成功的转型取决于许多因素,其中一些与购买价格和车辆功能有关,而另一些则与技术和充电基础设施有关。本文分析了向插电式电动汽车的过渡。我们使用来自大型代表性丹麦陈述选择调查的数据。基于这些数据,我们估计了一个混合 logit 模型,该模型允许跨燃料类型和汽车细分市场的相关随机效应以及系统异质性。结果表明,相关性和替代性确实跨越了这些维度。支付意愿 (WTP) 措施是针对各种属性进行估计的。这些表明航程的 WTP 因燃料类型而异,2是样本中个人的一个重要问题。

更新日期:2021-08-01
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