Planned estates may be a solution to housing demand and affordability in high growth regions. As a result, planned estate research has tended to focus on privatisation, social engineering of communities by developers, and social polarisation. Heatwave research has focused on measuring and mitigating the impact of such events on disadvantaged communities. However, these two research streams have not been combined to examine how planned estate residents may be vulnerable to heatwaves. We address that gap by considering past, current, and future heatwave impacts; identifying underlying processes governing the vulnerability of planned estates to heatwaves; and reflecting on the implications for the sustainability of planned estates in relation to future heatwave risk. We adopt a mixed-methods approach using the case of the Jordan Springs estate in Western Sydney, Australia, and that work is underpinned by systems approaches embedded in sustainability science. We find that Jordan Springs is physically vulnerable to heatwaves due to characteristics in its built environment. Human vulnerability is complex: rooted in multiscalar socio-economic and systemic processes both internal and external to the estate. We suggest resilience be increased to improve estate liveability and sustainability by retrofitting the built environment, improving urban greening, broadening consumer awareness, and modifying development processes.

中文翻译：

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我们郊区的未来：规划中的热浪脆弱性分析

规划中的屋苑可能是解决高增长地区住房需求和负担能力的一种方法。因此，计划中的房地产研究倾向于关注私有化、开发商对社区的社会工程以及社会两极分化。热浪研究的重点是衡量和减轻此类事件对弱势社区的影响。然而，这两个研究流尚未结合起来研究计划中的房地产居民如何容易受到热浪的影响。我们通过考虑过去、现在和未来的热浪影响来解决这一差距；确定管理规划中的房地产对热浪的脆弱性的基本过程；并思考与未来热浪风险相关的规划庄园可持续性的影响。我们采用混合方法方法，使用澳大利亚西悉尼的 Jordan Springs 庄园的案例，这项工作以可持续性科学中的系统方法为基础。我们发现，由于其建筑环境的特点，乔丹泉在物理上很容易受到热浪的影响。人类的脆弱性是复杂的：植根于房地产内部和外部的多尺度社会经济和系统过程。我们建议通过改造建筑环境、改善城市绿化、扩大消费者意识和修改开发流程来提高弹性，以提高房地产的宜居性和可持续性。我们发现，由于其建筑环境的特点，乔丹泉在物理上很容易受到热浪的影响。人类的脆弱性是复杂的：植根于房地产内部和外部的多尺度社会经济和系统过程。我们建议通过改造建筑环境、改善城市绿化、扩大消费者意识和修改开发流程来提高弹性，以提高房地产的宜居性和可持续性。我们发现，由于其建筑环境的特点，乔丹泉在物理上很容易受到热浪的影响。人类的脆弱性是复杂的：植根于房地产内部和外部的多尺度社会经济和系统过程。我们建议通过改造建筑环境、改善城市绿化、扩大消费者意识和修改开发流程来提高弹性，以提高房地产的宜居性和可持续性。