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Bias-optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping
Decisions in Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-07-30 , DOI: 10.1007/s10203-021-00349-4
Giacomo Toscano 1 , Maria Cristina Recchioni 2
Affiliation  

The simplest and most natural vol-of-vol estimator, the pre-estimated spot variance-based realized variance, is typically plagued by a large finite-sample bias. In this paper, we analytically show that allowing for the overlap of consecutive local windows to pre-estimate the spot variance may correct for this bias. In particular, we provide a feasible rule for the bias-optimal selection of the length of local windows when the volatility is a CKLS process. The effectiveness of this rule for practical applications is supported by numerical and empirical analyses.



中文翻译:

偏差最优 vol-of-vol 估计:窗口重叠的作用

最简单和最自然的 vol-of-vol 估计器,即基于预估计点方差的已实现方差,通常受到大的有限样本偏差的困扰。在本文中,我们分析表明,允许连续局部窗口的重叠来预估计点方差可以纠正这种偏差。特别是,当波动率是 CKLS 过程时,我们为局部窗口长度的偏差最优选择提供了一个可行的规则。该规则在实际应用中的有效性得到了数值和经验分析的支持。

更新日期:2021-07-30
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