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Multicriteria Decision Support for the Evaluation of Electricity Supply Resilience: Exploration of Interacting Criteria
European Journal of Operational Research ( IF 6.4 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-20 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.07.026
Eleftherios Siskos 1 , Peter Burgherr 1
Affiliation  

The resilience of an energy system and especially the national electricity supply is a complex and multidimensional concept, which is receiving growing attention at a European level. In particular, the increasing risks of extended electricity supply disruptions and/or severe electricity price fluctuations are stressing the need for an assessment of the European countries’ electricity supply resilience. This paper proposes an elaborative multicriteria decision support methodological framework, based on three major resilience dimensions, namely: “resist”, “restabilise” and “recover”. In total, 35 European countries are evaluated and ranked according to their performance on 17 interacting evaluation criteria. The overall evaluation of the countries is established based on a synergy of two complementary multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) methods. Specifically, the Choquet Integral is approached and assessed as an importance indicator to properly accommodate and incorporate the interacting criteria into the value system, negating therefore their arbitrary effects on the final benchmarking. Simultaneously, a procedure based on the Simos method supports the robust elicitation of the Choquet capacities. All preferential information required for the implementation of the MCDA framework has been elicited from an expert, highly knowledgeable of the European energy system. This research work aims to support energy policymakers in Europe and provide guidelines and areas for improvement at a country level.



中文翻译:

电力供应弹性评估的多标准决策支持:相互作用标准的探索

能源系统,尤其是国家电力供应的弹性是一个复杂且多维的概念,在欧洲层面受到越来越多的关注。特别是,电力供应中断时间延长和/或电价剧烈波动的风险日益增加,这凸显了对欧洲国家电力供应弹性进行评估的必要性。本文基于三个主要的弹性维度,即:“抵抗”、“重新稳定”和“恢复”,提出了一个详尽的多标准决策支持方法论框架。总共有 35 个欧洲国家根据它们在 17 个相互作用的评估标准上的表现进行评估和排名。这些国家的总体评估是基于两种互补的多标准决策援助 (MCDA) 方法的协同作用而建立的。具体而言,Choquet Integral 被视为一个重要指标,以适当地适应相互作用标准并将其纳入价值体系,从而否定它们对最终基准的任意影响。同时,基于 Simos 方法的程序支持 Choquet 容量的稳健导出。实施 MCDA 框架所需的所有优惠信息均来自一位对欧洲能源系统非常了解的专家。这项研究工作旨在支持欧洲的能源政策制定者,并在国家层面提供指导方针和改进领域。因此否定它们对最终基准测试的任意影响。同时,基于 Simos 方法的程序支持 Choquet 容量的稳健导出。实施 MCDA 框架所需的所有优惠信息均来自一位对欧洲能源系统非常了解的专家。这项研究工作旨在支持欧洲的能源政策制定者,并在国家层面提供指导方针和改进领域。因此否定它们对最终基准测试的任意影响。同时,基于 Simos 方法的程序支持 Choquet 容量的稳健导出。实施 MCDA 框架所需的所有优惠信息均来自一位对欧洲能源系统非常了解的专家。这项研究工作旨在支持欧洲的能源政策制定者,并在国家层面提供指导方针和改进领域。

更新日期:2021-07-20
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