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Life-course predictors of homelessness from adolescence into adulthood: A population-based cohort study.
Journal of Adolescence ( IF 3.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-13 , DOI: 10.1016/j.adolescence.2021.06.007
Jessica A Heerde 1 , Jennifer A Bailey 2 , Adrian B Kelly 3 , Barbara J McMorris 4 , George C Patton 5 , John W Toumbourou 6
Affiliation  

INTRODUCTION Internationally, the prevalence of young adult homelessness is concerning. Few data on life-course predictors from longitudinal studies exist, limiting our capacity to inform prevention strategies at the population-level. METHODS Data were drawn from a state representative population-based sample of young adults from Victoria, Australia participating in the International Youth Development Study (IYDS; N = 927, 54% female). Participants were recruited in state-representative secondary school samples at Grade 7 (age 13, 2002), with follow-up in Grades 9 (age 15) and 11 (age 17) and at ages 21, 23 and 25. Using longitudinal path modelling, we conducted a series of analyses testing life-course predictors of young adult homelessness across multiple socializing contexts, and the interrelationships among them. RESULTS The rate of young adult homelessness was 5.5%. Path modelling showed higher levels of family conflict at ages 13 and 15 uniquely predicted homelessness by age 25. This effect remained after accounting for other risk factors in peer-group (e.g., interactions with antisocial peers), school (e.g., low academic performance), and community contexts (e.g., low neighborhood attachment). Peer drug use and interaction with antisocial peers at age 15 mediated the association between family conflict at age 13 and homelessness by age 25. CONCLUSIONS Findings point to the vulnerability of early adolescents to family conflict. This vulnerability heightens risk for young adult homelessness. Findings strengthen the case for both primary prevention programs that build healthy relationships between family members from early on in adolescence and for investment in homelessness prevention at key developmental periods.

中文翻译:

从青春期到成年无家可归的生命历程预测因素:一项基于人群的队列研究。

引言 在国际上,青年无家可归的普遍性令人担忧。来自纵向研究的关于生命过程预测因子的数据很少,这限制了我们在人群层面为预防策略提供信息的能力。方法 数据来自澳大利亚维多利亚州参与国际青年发展研究(IYDS;N = 927,54% 女性)的具有州代表性的基于人口的年轻人样本。参与者在 7 年级(2002 年 13 岁)时被招募到州代表中学样本中,并在 9 年级(15 岁)和 11 年级(17 岁)以及 21、23 和 25 岁时进行随访。使用纵向路径建模,我们进行了一系列分析,测试了在多种社交环境中青年无家可归的生命历程预测因素,以及它们之间的相互关系。结果 青年无家可归率为5.5%。路径模型显示,13 岁和 15 岁的家庭冲突水平更高,这独特地预测了 25 岁时无家可归。在考虑了同伴群体(例如,与反社会同伴的互动)、学校(例如,学习成绩低)的其他风险因素后,这种影响仍然存在和社区环境(例如,低邻里依恋)。15 岁时同伴吸毒和与反社会同伴的互动介导了 13 岁时的家庭冲突与 25 岁时无家可归之间的关联。结论 研究结果表明早期青少年易受家庭冲突的影响。这种脆弱性增加了年轻人无家可归的风险。
更新日期:2021-07-13
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