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Dating business cycles in India
Indian Growth and Development Review Pub Date : 2017-04-10 , DOI: 10.1108/igdr-02-2017-0013
Radhika Pandey 1 , Ila Patnaik 1 , Ajay Shah 1
Affiliation  

This paper presents a chronology of Indian business cycle in the post-reform period. The period before reforms primarily saw monsoon cycles. We find three episodes of recession in the post-reform period: 1999Q4 to 2003Q1, 2007Q2 to 2009Q3, and 2011Q2 to 2012Q4. We find that the average duration of expansion is 12 quarters and the average duration of recession is 9 quarters. The diversity in duration of expansion is seen to be 0.34 while the diversity in duration of recession is 0.31. We find that the amplitude of recession is relatively more diverse at 0.45 while the diversity in amplitude of expansion is 0.38.

中文翻译:

在印度约会商业周期

本文介绍了改革后印度经济周期的年表。改革前的时期主要是季风周期。我们发现改革后经济衰退的三个阶段:1999Q4 到 2003Q1、2007Q2 到 2009Q3、2011Q2 到 2012Q4。我们发现扩张的平均持续时间为 12 个季度,衰退的平均持续时间为 9 个季度。扩张持续时间的多样性为 0.34,而衰退持续时间的多样性为 0.31。我们发现衰退幅度相对更多样化,为 0.45,而扩张幅度的多样性为 0.38。
更新日期:2017-04-10
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