Future changes in the mean, maximum, and minimum surface temperature over Europe are investigated according to CMIP6 future climate projections. All the temperature variables are projected to increase across Europe particularly in northern and southernmost latitudes, where according to SSP5-8.5 the warming can reach 2–3 (5–6) °C at the middle (end) of the current century. The warming is particularly strong in Northern (Mediterranean) areas in winter (summer) seasons. The occurrence of hot days (mean temperature > 30 °C) is projected to increase in all southern Europe by the end of the century (> 40–60 days/year), particularly in the southern parts of the Iberian Peninsula and Turkey. Increases in the occurrence of very hot days (maximum temperature > 40 °C) are projected in the central-southern areas of the Iberian Peninsula (30–40 days/year) and southern Turkey (> 50 days/year) in the end of the century. Tropical nights are expected to increase throughout the century in all Europe (except the northernmost latitudes), particularly at southern Europe for the 2081–2100 period (50–80 nights/year). Frost days (minimum temperature < 0 °C) are expected to occur less in all Europe towards the end of the century, with less than 50–70 days/year in central Europe and even less in Scandinavia and north-eastern Russia.

根据 CMIP6 未来气候预测，研究了欧洲平均、最高和最低地表温度的未来变化。预计整个欧洲的所有温度变量都会增加，特别是在北纬和最南纬，根据 SSP5-8.5，在本世纪中（末），变暖可以达到 2-3 (5-6) °C。在冬季（夏季）季节，北部（地中海）地区的变暖尤为强烈。预计到本世纪末，整个欧洲南部的炎热天气（平均温度 > 30 °C）都会增加（每年 > 40-60 天），尤其是在伊比利亚半岛和土耳其南部。酷热天的发生率增加（最高温度 > 40 °C) 预计在本世纪末伊比利亚半岛的中南部地区（30-40 天/年）和土耳其南部（> 50 天/年）。预计整个世纪整个欧洲（除最北纬地区）的热带夜晚都会增加，特别是在 2081-2100 年期间的南欧（50-80 夜/年）。预计到本世纪末，整个欧洲的霜冻天数（最低温度 < 0 °C）将减少，中欧每年不到 50-70 天，斯堪的纳维亚半岛和俄罗斯东北部的霜冻天数更少。