This study investigates regional employment and production resilience to adverse crisis shocks. We extend the concept of resilience beyond the notion of resistance and fast recovery to include the potential of positive spillovers to related industries in neighboring regions. The industrial analysis of the automotive cluster in Mexico relies on a spatial shift-share approach to characterize the resilience ability of regional industries. The study employs the Sub-Prime crisis as a benchmark to identify the type of employment and production recovery after an adverse shock of similar magnitude. Four industries within the automotive cluster present various degrees of spatial dependence—those industries with the most significant spillover effects on neighboring regions. The type of resilience shown by these automotive industries in the regions during the Sub Prime Crisis serves as a benchmark to base policy government and corporate decisions after the economic crisis caused by the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2.

中文翻译：

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确定墨西哥汽车集群中的弹性产业：从大衰退中汲取的政策教训，以克服 COVID 19 造成的危机

本研究调查了区域就业和生产对不利危机冲击的弹性。我们将弹性的概念扩展到阻力和快速复苏的概念之外，以包括对邻近地区相关行业的积极溢出效应的潜力。墨西哥汽车集群的产业分析依赖于空间转移共享方法来表征区域产业的弹性能力。该研究以次贷危机为基准，以确定类似规模的不利冲击后就业和生产复苏的类型。汽车集群内的四个产业呈现出不同程度的空间依赖——这些产业对邻近地区的溢出效应最显着。