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Modeling the growth curve of Muzaffarnagari lambs from India
Livestock Science ( IF 1.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-10 , DOI: 10.1016/j.livsci.2021.104621
Ajoy Mandal 1 , Hasan Baneh 2 , David R. Notter 3
Affiliation  

Body weights (BW) of 2,611 Muzaffarnagari lambs at birth and 3, 6, 9, and 12 months of age were used to compare five alternative growth curves. Four three-parameter functions (Brody, von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and logistic) and the four-parameter Richards function were fit for each lamb. Estimates of the asymptotic final BW (A), a maturing-rate parameter (k), and the degree of maturity at birth (u0) = BW/A were estimated for each function. A shape parameter (m) was included in the Richards function and used to identify the degree of maturity (u) at the point of inflection of the growth curve (uI). Among three-parameter functions, the Brody function had the smallest pooled residual sum of squares (RSS) across all lambs and the smallest RSS for 56% of individual lambs. For the Brody function, the growth rate is maximum at birth and declines continuously as animals age. In comparison with the Brody function, fitting the Richards function with a variable inflection point did not significantly reduce RSS. Comparisons of Brody and Richards functions indicated that the Richards function converged to a Brody function for 17% of the lambs. The predicted growth rate was maximum at an average uI of 0.26 for the Richards function and at an average of u0 = 0.10 for the Brody function. Parameters k and m interacted to define the maturing rate in the Richards function, and the predicted age at u= 0.50 (t50) was proposed to measure growth efficiency. Correlations between estimates of A, u0, and t50 for the Brody and Richards functions were all 0.89, confirming limited benefit from fitting the Richards function. For the Brody function, correlations among estimates of A, k, and u0 were modest (-0.59 to 0.39). Use of these parameter estimates in selection to modify the growth curve would be relatively straightforward. Correlations among A, k, and u0 from the Richards function were also modest (-0.60 to 0.27), but the correlation between k and uI was 0.82. Selection to modify the Richards parameters would therefore be more challenging, and the Richards function likely over-parameterized the growth curve. We therefore concluded that the Brody function was the most appropriate growth function to describe BW changes from birth to 1 year of age in Muzaffarnagari lambs.



中文翻译:

对来自印度的 Muzaffarnagari 羔羊的生长曲线进行建模

2,611 只 Muzaffarnagari 羔羊在出生时和 3、6、9 和 12 个月大时的体重 (BW) 用于比较五种替代生长曲线。四个三参数函数(Brody、von Bertalanffy、Gompertz 和 Logistic)和四参数理查兹函数适用于每只羔羊。估计每个函数的渐近最终 BW (A)、成熟率参数 (k) 和出生成熟度 (u 0 ) = BW/A。形状参数 (m) 包含在理查兹函数中,用于确定生长曲线 (u I)拐点处的成熟度 (u))。在三参数函数中,Brody 函数在所有羔羊中具有最小的合并残差平方和 (RSS),对于 56% 的单个羔羊具有最小的 RSS。对于 Brody 函数,生长速度在出生时最大,随着动物年龄的增长而不断下降。与 Brody 函数相比,使用可变拐点拟合 Richards 函数并没有显着降低 RSS。Brody 和 Richards 函数的比较表明,对于 17% 的羔羊,Richards 函数收敛为 Brody 函数。对于 Richards 函数,预测增长率在平均 u I为 0.26 和平均 u 0 时最大 = 0.10 对于 Brody 函数。参数 k 和 m 相互作用以定义 Richards 函数中的成熟率,并建议使用 u= 0.50 (t 50 )的预测年龄来衡量生长效率。Brody 和 Richards 函数的 A、u 0和 t 50估计值之间的相关性均为 0.89,证实拟合 Richards 函数的益处有限。对于 Brody 函数,A、k 和 u 0 的估计值之间的相关性不大(-0.59 到 0.39)。在选择中使用这些参数估计来修改增长曲线将相对简单。来自理查兹函数的A、k 和 u 0之间的相关性也很小(-0.60 到 0.27),但 k 和 u I之间的相关性是 0.82。因此,选择修改理查兹参数将更具挑战性,并且理查兹函数可能会过度参数化增长曲线。因此,我们得出结论,Brody 函数是描述 Muzaffarnagari 羔羊从出生到 1 岁体重变化的最合适的生长函数。

更新日期:2021-07-28
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