Futures ( IF 3.788 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-07 , DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2021.102799 Jeanette Kæseler Mortensen 1 , Nicklas Larsen 1 , Martin Kruse 1
We live in an age of transition driven by technological opportunities, and the speed with which industries are disrupted accelerates. For organisations, the consequences of these changes are to replace static capabilities with dynamic capabilities, such as futures literacy. This paper explores the concept of futures literacy and identifies some of the barriers to developing futures literacy in organisations. As research related to futures literacy is still in its infant stage, no existing research has identified barriers to developing futures literacy in organisations. This article aims to make that contribution to advance this field of study and provide understanding of where best to invest to overcome such barriers. Due to the nature of futures literacy and its relation to foresight, we put forward the hypothesis that for all its merits, futures literacy may be faced with several barriers when developed in organisations, such as organisational culture, lack of experience, mental models, measurability and clarity on investment. We explore this hypothesis through a literature review on barriers to develop foresight in organisations, combined with an additional literature review on barriers to enhance learning environments in organisations, followed by a single retrospective case study to test if the identified barriers are present.
中文翻译:
在组织中培养未来素养的障碍
我们生活在一个由技术机遇驱动的转型时代,行业被颠覆的速度正在加快。对于组织而言,这些变化的后果是用动态能力取代静态能力,例如未来素养。本文探讨了未来素养的概念,并确定了在组织中发展未来素养的一些障碍。由于与未来素养相关的研究仍处于起步阶段,目前尚无研究发现在组织中发展未来素养的障碍。本文旨在为推动这一研究领域的发展做出贡献,并提供对克服这些障碍的最佳投资地点的理解。由于期货素养的性质及其与远见的关系,我们提出假设,尽管有其优点,未来素养在组织中发展时可能会面临一些障碍,例如组织文化、缺乏经验、心智模式、可衡量性和投资清晰度。我们通过关于在组织中发展远见的障碍的文献综述来探索这一假设,并结合关于增强组织学习环境的障碍的额外文献综述,然后是一个单一的回顾性案例研究,以测试是否存在已识别的障碍。