Abstract

Poverty and inequality remain a development challenge for most fishery-dependent households. This has prompted the current interest in the ocean-based economic model as Kenya became the first to host a global conference on the sustainable blue economy which was held in Nairobi in November 2018. To provide a more comprehensive understanding of the challenges surrounding the blue economy approach, we used a fractional response model to analyze drivers of marine fishery dependence. Our case study, involving 384 randomly selected households from Coastal lowlands of Kenya, specifically Kilifi County, revealed that marine fishery is the highest livelihood option exhibiting gender differences. The livelihood participation rates were approximately 68%, 36%, 31%, 25%, and 9% for marine fishery and related activities, agriculture, self-employment (excluding agriculture and marine fishery), wage employment, and remittances respectively. Many livelihood options were pursued independently implying a low level of diversified livelihood strategies in the region. The analysis of the determinants of the marine fishery dependence indicated that education level, agricultural productive assets, access to credit, group membership, security of tenure, flood shock, and fish price shock significantly influenced marine fishery dependence. The study therefore recommends government intervention in marine governance and development programs such as infrastructural development, capital availability and extension services. This will enable the dependent households to diversify to alternative livelihood options and contributes to sustainable marine fishery dependence.

摘要

贫困和不平等仍然是大多数依赖渔业的家庭面临的发展挑战。由于肯尼亚成为第一个主办可持续蓝色经济全球会议的国家，该会议于 2018 年 11 月在内罗毕举行，这引发了当前对海洋经济模式的兴趣。 更全面地了解围绕蓝色经济的挑战方法，我们使用部分响应模型来分析海洋渔业依赖的驱动因素。我们的案例研究涉及来自肯尼亚沿海低地（特别是基利菲县）的 384 个随机选择的家庭，表明海洋渔业是表现出性别差异的最高生计选择。海洋渔业及相关活动、农业、自营职业（不包括农业和海洋渔业）、工资就业和汇款。许多生计选择是独立追求的，这意味着该地区的多样化生计战略水平较低。对海洋渔业依赖决定因素的分析表明，教育水平、农业生产资产、获得信贷、团体成员、保有权保障、洪水冲击和鱼价冲击显着影响海洋渔业依赖。因此，该研究建议政府干预海洋治理和发展计划，例如基础设施开发、资本可用性和推广服务。这将使受抚养家庭能够多样化以替代生计选择，并有助于可持续的海洋渔业依赖。