当前位置: X-MOL 学术Nat. Energy › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Increase in frequency of nuclear power outages due to changing climate
Nature Energy ( IF 56.7 ) Pub Date : 2021-07-05 , DOI: 10.1038/s41560-021-00849-y
Ali Ahmad 1
Affiliation  

Climate-related changes have already affected operating conditions for different types of energy system, in particular power plants. With more than three decades of data on changing climate, we are now in a position to empirically assess the impact of climate change on power plant operations. Such empirical assessments can provide an additional measure of the resilience of power plants going forward. Here I analyse climate-linked outages in nuclear power plants over the past three decades. My assessment shows that the average frequency of climate-induced disruptions has dramatically increased from 0.2 outage per reactor-year in the 1990s to 1.5 in the past decade. Based on the projections for adopted climate scenarios, the average annual energy loss of the global nuclear fleet is estimated to range between 0.8% and 1.4% in the mid-term (2046–2065) and 1.4% and 2.4% in the long term (2081–2100).



中文翻译:

气候变化导致核电中断频率增加

与气候相关的变化已经影响到不同类型能源系统的运行条件,特别是发电厂。凭借超过 30 年的气候变化数据,我们现在能够凭经验评估气候变化对发电厂运营的影响。这种经验评估可以为未来发电厂的恢复能力提供额外的衡量标准。在这里,我分析了过去 30 年中与气候有关的核电站停电。我的评估表明,气候引起的中断的平均频率已从 1990 年代的每反应堆年 0.2 次停电急剧增加到过去十年的 1.5 次。根据对采用的气候情景的预测,全球核船队的年均能量损失估计在 0.8% 到 1 之间。

更新日期:2021-07-05
down
wechat
bug