This paper aims to identify the main risk groups according to their significance on imports of agricultural products. After analysis of the scientific literature, eight groups of risks associated with agricultural products import were determined: supply risks, demand risks, production risks, management plus operational risks, logistical plus infrastructural risks, political risks, policy plus regulatory risks and financial risks. In order to assess the importance of all import risk groups, three Multicriteria decision support methods (MCDM)—SAW, TOPSIS and Geometric means—for expert evaluation are used. The article introduces a new import risks assessment framework CIRA (Country’s Imports Risk Assessment) contributing to the systematic approach of a country’s international trade risks management. The results order risk groups according to their importance in the following order: production (the most crucial risk group), logistical plus infrastructural, financial, management plus operational, political, supply, policy plus regulatory and demand risks.

中文翻译：

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外贸农产品进口风险

本文旨在根据其对农产品进口的重要性识别主要风险组。通过对科学文献的分析，确定了与农产品进口相关的八组风险：供应风险、需求风险、生产风险、管理加运营风险、物流加基础设施风险、政治风险、政策加监管风险和金融风险。为了评估所有进口风险组的重要性，专家评估使用了三种多标准决策支持方法 (MCDM)——SAW、TOPSIS 和几何平均值。本文介绍了一个新的进口风险评估框架 CIRA（国家进口风险评估），有助于一个国家的国际贸易风险管理的系统方法。