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Game theoretic-based modelling of Krishna waters dispute: equilibrium solutions by hypergame analysis
The European Physical Journal B ( IF 1.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-28 , DOI: 10.1140/epjb/s10051-021-00135-6
Durga Prasad Panday , Rakesh Khosa , Rathinasamy Maheswaran , K. Ravikumar , Ankit Agarwal

Abstract

This paper presents a hyper game analysis of the Krishna waters dispute and demonstrates its potential to yield an equilibrium solution even in the face of uncertainty that may be plausible in the intent behind the apparent position taken by contending parties. The approach can accommodate the real-world conflict situation in which players conceal their negotiating strategies and develop perceptions about apparent positions that may be misperceived. The hypergame model of the conflict formulated to resolve the water-sharing dispute amongst the riparian states of Maharashtra, Karnataka, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh, India. The paper demonstrates the potential of hypergame-based conflict resolution model to yield an equilibrium solution elegantly and which appears to have attributes of a “Fair and Equitable”” allocation. Hypergame is formulated by considering the perception of one player about the other ’players’ game. All the possible perceptions are taken, and the stability analysis is carried out. The results of the stability analysis show that Fair and equitable allocation is part of the equilibrium solution. Our analysis demonstrates that the game-theoretic technique can be applied to solve any real-world conflict. Any allocation made based on “Fairness and Equity” undoubtedly lead to the equilibrium solution as seen in the present work.

Graphic abstract



中文翻译:

基于博弈论的克里希纳水域争端建模:超博弈分析的均衡解

摘要

本文对克里希纳水域争端进行了超级博弈分析,并展示了即使面临不确定性,也可能产生平衡解决方案的潜力,这种不确定性在竞争各方采取的明显立场背后的意图中可能是合理的。这种方法可以适应现实世界的冲突情况,在这种情况下,参与者隐藏他们的谈判策略,并对可能被误解的明显立场形成看法。制定冲突的超级博弈模型是为了解决马哈拉施特拉邦、卡纳塔克邦、特兰加纳邦和印度安得拉邦等沿岸邦之间的水资源共享争端。该论文展示了基于超级博弈的冲突解决模型的潜力,可以优雅地产生均衡解决方案,并且似乎具有“公平和公平”分配的属性。超级游戏是通过考虑一个玩家对其他“玩家”游戏的看法来制定的。采取所有可能的感知,并进行稳定性分析。稳定性分析的结果表明,公平合理的分配是均衡解的一部分。我们的分析表明,博弈论技术可用于解决任何现实世界的冲突。任何基于“公平和公平”的分配无疑会导致当前工作中看到的均衡解决方案。我们的分析表明,博弈论技术可用于解决任何现实世界的冲突。任何基于“公平和公平”的分配无疑会导致当前工作中看到的均衡解决方案。我们的分析表明,博弈论技术可用于解决任何现实世界的冲突。任何基于“公平和公平”的分配无疑会导致当前工作中看到的均衡解决方案。

图形摘要

更新日期:2021-06-28
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