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Turning the lights on to keep them in the fold: How governments preempt secession attempts
Conflict Management and Peace Science ( IF 1.819 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-28 , DOI: 10.1177/07388942211015242
Rob Williams 1
Affiliation  

There are many regions that meet the necessary conditions for sovereign governance in the world, but few secessionist conflicts. I argue that this relative paucity of secessionist violence is the result of government preemption of potential secessionist movements. Using cross-national geospatial data from 1992 to 2013, I find that governments invest more, measured via nighttime light emissions, in more secession-prone regions. The same factors that make territory attractive for secession, such as large populations and international borders, also make governments willing to work to retain control of that territory, contributing to the scarcity of separatist civil conflicts.



中文翻译:

开灯让他们参与进来:政府如何抢占分裂企图

世界上符合主权治理必要条件的地区很多,但分裂主义冲突很少。我认为,这种分离主义暴力的相对稀少是政府先发制人的潜在分离主义运动的结果。使用 1992 年至 2013 年的跨国地理空间数据,我发现政府在更容易分裂的地区投资更多(通过夜间光排放来衡量)。使领土对分裂具有吸引力的相同因素,例如人口众多和国际边界,也使政府愿意努力保持对该领土的控制,从而导致分裂主义国内冲突的稀缺。

更新日期:2021-06-28
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