In a future warming world, a fully dynamical model of Lake Superior projects that the lake will undergo significant physical and biological changes by the middle of the 21st century with important implications for the surrounding region. Projections for the winter include drastically reduced ice and very weak water column stratification. In contrast, the summertime surface warming is projected to begin earlier, last longer, and be more enhanced. In concert, summertime biological production is projected to shift earlier and become larger. These changes have potentially important consequences for stakeholders with interests in shipping, coastal habitability, fishing, water quality, and recreation. Perhaps more fundamentally, the projected changes imply that Lake Superior may change into a different kind of lake with a dramatically weakened dimictic behavior. Ac c pte d A rtic le

中文翻译：

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未来变暖情景下苏必利尔湖的气候预测

在未来变暖的世界中，苏必利尔湖的全动力学模型预测，到 21 世纪中叶，湖泊将发生重大的物理和生物变化，对周边地区产生重要影响。对冬季的预测包括冰大幅减少和非常弱的水柱分层。相比之下，预计夏季地表变暖开始得更早，持续时间更长，并且更加增强。一致地，预计夏季生物生产将提前转移并变得更大。这些变化对在航运、沿海宜居性、渔业、水质和娱乐方面感兴趣的利益相关者具有潜在的重要影响。也许更根本的是，预计的变化意味着苏必利尔湖可能会变成一个不同类型的湖泊，其双流行为显着减弱。接收文章