Sexual violence prevention on college campuses has received significant recent attention. A prevalent intervention paradigm has centered around re-educating young people around consent and reduce endorsement of “rape myths,” based on the correlation between rape myths and sexual violence incidents. Yet many of these programs have not measurably reduced sexual assaults. We evaluated the predictive value of a rape myth measure, as compared with other predictors (criminal history, childhood victimization, aggressive tendencies, substance use, and empathy), in predicting self-reported acts of forcible and incapacitated sexual assault in college-age men (N = 304) from 45 U.S. states. Across three logistic regression model pairs, rape myths were weakly associated with violence when considered as sole predictors. However, this predictive power dissipated when other predictors were included. Comprehensive models accounted significantly better for variability in outcomes; with criminal history demonstrating consistent predictive effects. Based on these findings, we recommend further research into prevention programming based on other predictors of violence.

大学校园的性暴力预防最近受到了极大的关注。基于强奸神话与性暴力事件之间的相关性，一种流行的干预范式集中在围绕同意对年轻人进行再教育，并减少对“强奸神话”的认可。然而，其中许多项目并没有显着减少性侵犯。我们评估了强奸神话测量的预测价值，与其他预测因素（犯罪历史、童年受害、攻击倾向、物质使用和同理心）相比，在预测大学年龄男性自我报告的强迫和无能力性侵犯行为方面( ñ= 304) 来自美国 45 个州。在三个逻辑回归模型对中，当被认为是唯一的预测因素时，强奸神话与暴力的相关性较弱。然而，当包括其他预测因素时，这种预测能力就消失了。综合模型明显更好地解释了结果的可变性；犯罪史显示出一致的预测效果。基于这些发现，我们建议进一步研究基于其他暴力预测因素的预防计划。