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A probabilistic account of the concept of cross-transfer and inferential interactions for trace materials
Law, Probability and Risk ( IF 0.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-12-30 , DOI: 10.1093/lpr/mgaa015
Franco Taroni 1 , Patrick Juchli 2 , Colin Aitken 3
Affiliation  

The analysis of inferential interactions plays an important role in the description of the line of reasoning for a forensic evaluator in a case involving the cross-transfer of evidence. It is possible the two items of evidence may mean more to an evaluator when considered jointly than they do if considered separately. An approach to the evaluation of evidence, with particular attention to the factors that need to be considered, is described for a case involving the cross-transfer of evidence. A formula is given which may be used to define the possible interactions between the evidence transferred in each direction and hence ease the interpretation of such evidence. Numerical examples are given from a classical fibre evidence scenario.

中文翻译:

对微量材料交叉转移和推理相互作用概念的概率解释

在涉及证据交叉转移的案件中,对推理性相互作用的分析在描述法医评估人员的推理路线方面起着重要作用。与单独考虑相比,这两项证据在联合考虑时对评估者的意义可能更大。针对涉及证据交叉转移的案例描述了一种评估证据的方法,特别注意需要考虑的因素。给出了一个公式,该公式可用于定义在每个方向上传输的证据之间可能的相互作用,从而简化对这些证据的解释。从经典的纤维证据场景中给出了数值示例。
更新日期:2020-12-30
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