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A modeling methodology to predict the generation of wasted plastic pesticide containers: An application to Greece
Waste Management ( IF 8.1 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-18 , DOI: 10.1016/j.wasman.2021.06.005
Georgios Garbounis 1 , Dimitrios Komilis 1
Affiliation  

Plant protection products (pesticides) are used throughout the world in the form of various types, such as insecticides, fungicides, herbicides etc. High Density Polyethylene is the principal material that those containers are made of. The aim of the study was to determine the factors that statistically affect the generation of the resulting wasted plastic pesticide containers after pesticide application. The objective was to develop a mathematical model to describe the generation rate of wasted plastic pesticide containers as a function of certain parameters. 603 data series were recorded based on information from 106 farmers in Greece and nineteen (19) parameters were initially included as potential predictors. Each farmer filled up questionnaires and provided data for more than one type of crops. Data were obtained from six Greek prefectures. Empirical models were developed for all pesticides through linear regression. The cultivated area (m2), the type of crop (perennial/annual, irrigated/dry) and the type of pesticide application (on soil, on foliage) were the statistically significant parameters to affect generation rates. Eighteen (18) farmers provided 56 (new) observations to validate the models. Two of the four models are reliable due to their low validation errors and should be ideally used for crop areas above 58,000 m2. The total wasted plastic pesticide containers generation rate in Greece was estimated to be 0.028 kg farmer−1 y−1 1000 m−2. Modeling results can aid to predict the generation rate of wasted pesticide plastic containers at a regional and national level so that to properly design their management systems.



中文翻译:

一种预测废弃塑料农药容器产生的建模方法:在希腊的应用

植物保护产品(农药)在世界范围内以各种形式使用,例如杀虫剂、杀菌剂、除草剂等。高密度聚乙烯是制造这些容器的主要材料。该研究的目的是确定在统计上影响农药施用后产生的废弃塑料农药容器的产生的因素。目的是开发一个数学模型来描述废弃塑料农药容器的生成率作为某些参数的函数。根据来自希腊 106 名农民的信息记录了 603 个数据系列,最初将十九 (19) 个参数作为潜在预测因素包括在内。每个农民填写问卷并提供不止一种作物的数据。数据来自六个希腊地区。通过线性回归为所有农药开发了经验模型。耕地面积(m2),作物类型(多年生/一年生,灌溉/干燥)和农药施用类型(土壤,叶子)是影响生成率的统计显着参数。十八 (18) 名农民提供了 56 个(新的)观察结果来验证模型。四个模型中有两个是可靠的,因为它们的验证误差低,应该理想地用于 58,000 m 2以上的作物区域。在希腊,废弃塑料农药容器的总生成率估计为 0.028 kg 农民-1 y -1 1000 m -2。建模结果有助于在区域和国家层面预测废弃农药塑料容器的产生率,从而合理设计其管理系统。

更新日期:2021-06-19
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