Abstract

The substantial improvements in development information and communication technologies led many economic and non-economic implications for the countries and in turn motivated the researchers to question the various effects of ICT especially in the light of economic crime. This study explores the short and long run influence of information and communication technologies on the shadow economy in 11 post-transition EU members over 1996-2015 period through second generation panel cointegration and causality tests regarding the cross-sectional dependence. The economic analyses disclosed that ICT indicators and human development had significant effects on the size of shadow economy in both short and long run. It was found that growing ICTs lead to reduction on the size of the shadow economy; in addition, human capital improvement policies serve as an important factor when tackling the shadow economy.

摘要

发展信息和通信技术的重大改进为各国带来了许多经济和非经济影响，反过来又促使研究人员质疑 ICT 的各种影响，特别是在经济犯罪的情况下。本研究通过关于横截面依赖性的第二代面板协整和因果关系检验，探讨了 1996-2015 年间信息和通信技术对 11 个转型后欧盟成员国的影子经济的短期和长期影响。经济分析表明，ICT 指标和人类发展对影子经济的规模在短期和长期都有显着影响。人们发现，不断增长的 ICT 会导致影子经济规模的缩小；此外，