ABSTRACT

A number of new and exciting datasets on terrorist groups have been created in recent years. However, most data have limited temporal coverage. In this article, we explore a dataset of historical terrorist groups formed between 1860 and 1969 to determine which insights from the terrorism literature are generalizable over time. A cursory look into the dataset reveals several trends that have been overlooked by both the qualitative historical terrorism literature and the quantitative contemporary terrorism literature. We also perform an econometric analysis of terrorist group formation to test hypotheses derived from the extant research. Our results show limited support for existing hypotheses, although civil society participation appears consistently associated with terrorist group formation.

摘要

近年来，已经创建了许多关于恐怖组织的新的和令人兴奋的数据集。然而，大多数数据的时间覆盖范围有限。在本文中，我们探索了 1860 年至 1969 年间形成的历史恐怖组织的数据集，以确定随着时间的推移，恐怖主义文献中的哪些见解可以概括。对数据集的粗略观察揭示了一些被定性的历史恐怖主义文献和定量的当代恐怖主义文献所忽视的趋势。我们还对恐怖组织的形成进行计量经济学分析，以检验从现有研究中得出的假设。我们的结果显示对现有假设的支持有限，尽管民间社会的参与似乎始终与恐怖组织的形成有关。