ABSTRACT The Peacebuilding Compared project deployed South Asian data to conclude that war tends to cascade across space and time to further war, crime to further crime, war to crime, and crime to war. This article is an analytic sketch of crime as a cascade phenomenon. Examining crime through a cascade lens helps us to imagine how to more effectively cascade crime prevention. Like crime, crime prevention often cascades. Braithwaite and D’Costa (2018) show how peacemaking can cascade non-violence, how it cascades non-violent social movement politics, and vice versa. Seeing crime through the cascade lens opens up fertile ways of imagining macrocriminology. Self-efficacy and collective efficacy are hypothesised as catalysts of crime prevention cascades in such a macrocriminology. Australian successes with gun control and drunk driving point to the importance of explicitly connecting evidence-based microcriminology to a macrocriminology of cultural transformation. More structurally, building collective efficacy in families, schools and primary work groups may cascade collective efficacy into neighbourhoods and vice versa. The microcriminology of hot-spot policing might be elaborated into a macrocriminology of inkspots of collective efficacy that cascade and connect up.

中文翻译：

---

犯罪是一种级联现象

摘要 和平建设比较项目部署了南亚数据，得出的结论是，战争往往会跨越时空级联，导致战争、犯罪与犯罪、战争与犯罪、犯罪与战争。这篇文章是对犯罪作为级联现象的分析草图。通过级联镜头检查犯罪有助于我们想象如何更有效地预防级联犯罪。像犯罪一样，犯罪预防往往是级联的。Braithwaite 和 D'Costa（2018 年）展示了调解如何可以级联非暴力，它如何级联非暴力社会运动政治，反之亦然。通过级联镜头看待犯罪开辟了想象宏观犯罪学的丰富方式。在这种宏观犯罪学中，自我效能和集体效能被假设为预防犯罪级联的催化剂。澳大利亚在枪支管制和酒后驾车方面的成功表明，将基于证据的微观犯罪学与文化转型的宏观犯罪学明确联系起来的重要性。从结构上讲，在家庭、学校和初级工作组中建立集体效能可能会将集体效能级联到社区，反之亦然。热点警务的微观犯罪学可能被详细阐述为串联和连接的集体效力墨点的宏观犯罪学。