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Scheduling fixed length quarantines to minimize the total number of fatalities during an epidemic
Journal of Mathematical Biology ( IF 1.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-08 , DOI: 10.1007/s00285-021-01615-0
Yuanyuan Feng 1 , Gautam Iyer 2 , Lei Li 3
Affiliation  

We consider a susceptible, infected, removed (SIR) system where the transmission rate may be temporarily reduced for a fixed amount of time. We show that in order to minimize the total number of fatalities, the transmission rate should be reduced on a single contiguous time interval, and we characterize this interval via an integral condition. We conclude with a few numerical simulations showing the actual reduction obtained.



中文翻译:

安排固定长度的隔离,以尽量减少流行期间的死亡总数

我们考虑一个易感、受感染、已移除 (SIR) 系统,其中传输速率可能会在固定时间内暂时降低。我们表明,为了最大限度地减少死亡总数,应该在单个连续时间间隔内降低传输速率,并且我们通过积分条件来表征该间隔。我们以一些数值模拟结束,显示了实际减少的情况。

更新日期:2021-06-08
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