当前位置: X-MOL 学术Review of Economic Dynamics › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Fertility and HIV risk in Africa
Review of Economic Dynamics ( IF 1.712 ) Pub Date : 2021-06-06 , DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2021.05.005
Yao Yao

This paper examines the role of social and cultural norms regarding fertility in women's HIV risk in Sub-Saharan Africa. Fertility is highly valued in most African societies, and premarital fertility is often encouraged to facilitate marriage. This incentivizes unprotected premarital sex and escalates HIV risk. I build a rich lifecycle model linking women's decisions concerning sex, fertility and education to HIV infection and calibrate it to match Kenyan data. Quantitative results show that premarital fertility motives account for 13 percent of HIV prevalence among young Kenyan women and that a combination of fertility motives and contraception cost accounts for nearly one-third of this prevalence. Various policies are evaluated. While an HIV treatment subsidy would reduce HIV prevalence to the greatest extent, its effectiveness would be severely mitigated by increased risky sex.



中文翻译:

非洲的生育率和艾滋病毒风险

本文探讨了有关生育的社会和文化规范在撒哈拉以南非洲女性感染艾滋病毒风险中的作用。在大多数非洲社会中,生育能力受到高度重视,并且经常鼓励婚前生育以促进婚姻。这会激励无保护的婚前性行为并增加艾滋病毒风险。我建立了一个丰富的生命周期模型,将女性关于性、生育和教育的决定与 HIV 感染联系起来,并对其进行校准以匹配肯尼亚的数据。定量结果表明,婚前生育动机占肯尼亚年轻女性艾滋病毒流行率的 13%,而生育动机和避孕成本的结合占这一流行率的近三分之一。评估各种政策。虽然艾滋病毒治疗补贴将最大程度地降低艾滋病毒感染率,

更新日期:2021-06-06
down
wechat
bug