The majority of geographical profiling research focuses on the relationship between offender and location, which works particularly well when a burial site is known. In real-world investigations, however, burial or dump sites are often not known. The aim of the current paper is to outline a relatively under-used method of geographic profiling: Winthropping. While the method has been around for several decades, few studies have provided any research findings using it. There are two likely reasons for Winthropping being under-used: first, it has not been clearly, theoretically explained; second, given its relative novelty, it may not be immediately clear how to use it in research and real-world scenarios. The current paper outlines several key psychological (e.g., satisficing and affordances) and criminological (e.g., rational choice theory and crime geometry) theories that may explain why Winthropping works. Case studies are provided, and a methodological approach (matrix forecasting) is then provided to show how it could work in research practice and real-world applications. Overall, Winthropping is deemed to be highly useful, and it is hoped that experts in the field will begin developing this tool for wider, applied use.

大多数地理分布图研究都集中在罪犯和位置之间的关系上，当人们知道一个埋葬地点时，这种关系特别有效。然而，在现实世界的调查中，通常不知道埋葬场或垃圾场。本文的目的是概述一种相对较少使用的地理剖析方法：Winthropping。尽管该方法已经存在了几十年，但很少有研究提供使用该方法的任何研究结果。Winthropping未被充分利用的可能原因有两个：第一，从理论上讲还没有清楚地解释；第二，鉴于它的相对新颖性，可能尚不清楚如何在研究和实际场景中使用它。本白皮书概述了一些关键的心理（例如，满意度和负担能力）和犯罪学（例如，理性选择理论和犯罪几何）理论，可以解释Winthropping为何起作用。提供了案例研究，然后提供了一种方法学方法（矩阵预测）来说明它如何在研究实践和实际应用中发挥作用。总体而言，Winthropping被认为非常有用，希望该领域的专家将开始开发此工具以更广泛地应用。