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Carry that weight: assessing continuity and change in NATO’s burden-sharing disputes
Defense & Security Analysis Pub Date : 2021-05-12 , DOI: 10.1080/14751798.2021.1920092
Tommi Koivula 1
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT

This article proposes Stephen Jay Gould’s concepts of time’s arrow and time’s cycle as a conceptual tool to analyse NATO’s burden-sharing disputes. It argues that the controversies on burden-sharing in NATO can be assessed in terms of their cyclic or arrow kind nature, rendering some disputes more likely to recur than others and providing different kinds of starting points for their forecasting. The study identifies four cyclic categories in which burden-sharing has transformed into a political debate among NATO members during the post-Cold War era: geopolitical change related to Russia; periods of US foreign political retrenchment or renewal; the passivity or activism of European NATO members; and during NATO or allied out-of-area operations. Moreover, the study suggests an arrow kind of direction in burden-sharing disputes, indicating an expansion of disputes to cover comprehensive security, resilience, security co-operation and diplomacy, and to engulf also NATO partner countries.



中文翻译:

承担这个重量:评估北约负担分担争端的连续性和变化

摘要

本文提出斯蒂芬杰伊古尔德的时间箭头和时间周期概念作为分析北约负担分担争端的概念工具。它认为,北约关于负担分担的争议可以根据其循环或箭头类型的性质进行评估,从而使某些争议比其他争议更容易再次发生,并为其预测提供不同类型的起点。该研究确定了四个循环类别,其中在冷战后时期,负担分担已转变为北约成员国之间的政治辩论:与俄罗斯相关的地缘政治变化;美国对外政治紧缩或更新的时期;欧洲北约成员国的被动或激进;以及在北约或盟军区域外行动期间。此外,该研究表明,在责任分担纠纷中,有一个箭头式的方向,

更新日期:2021-06-08
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