ABSTRACT

The realm of outer space is becoming increasingly crowded and more contested – conditions that increase the risk that a conflict could arise. Given that there has never been a war in space, countries have little experience to draw upon to predict what behavior might motivate a potential competitor to respond with threatening actions – and how quickly and in what manner those actions could escalate to a full-blown conflict. To help control this situation, we may want to take a look at what was done during the Cold War, when concerns about unintentional escalation focused on nuclear weapons.

中文翻译：

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避免意外的太空战争：冷战核外交的经验教训

摘要

外层空间领域变得越来越拥挤，竞争越来越激烈，这些条件增加了发生冲突的风险。鉴于从未发生过太空战争，因此各国几乎没有经验可用来预测哪些行为可能会激发潜在的竞争对手采取威胁性行动-以及这些行动如何迅速和以何种方式升级为全面爆发的冲突。为了帮助控制这种情况，我们不妨看一看冷战期间的情况，当时人们对无意升级的关注集中在核武器上。