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Multicriteria wind potential assessment using fuzzy logic in decision making: A case study of Iran
Wind Energy ( IF 4.1 ) Pub Date : 2021-05-11 , DOI: 10.1002/we.2640
Amin Aryanfar 1 , Aslan Gholami 1 , Mahdi Pourgholi 2 , Majid Zandi 1
Affiliation  

The current paper introduces an innovative multicriteria wind potential assessment study using fuzzy logic in decision making. Regarding the diverse conditions and lack of comprehensive studies, Iran was selected as a case study, and by applying the proposed framework, all the 559 synoptic meteorological stations in the country were studied. Fourteen technical, eco-environmental, and social indicators were defined for the assessment. Each of the indicator's effectiveness was determined using related literature and interviews with local experts. Finally, using fuzzy logic in decision making, all the selected sites and the provinces were scored and ranked. Moreover, the priority maps of Iran provinces considering social and eco-environmental aspects were provided. The selected sites' final standing for the development of offshore and onshore wind power plant was also determined. The results indicate that taking just the technical conditions into account can result in misleading conclusions and social and eco-environmental criteria must also be considered for potential assessment studies. Moreover, it was shown that equal supportive policies for wind development throughout the country would mitigate their efficiency. Therefore, the energy strategies should be codified, considering local circumstances to organize investment resources, leading to higher legislation efficiencies and faster development.

中文翻译:

在决策中使用模糊逻辑进行多标准风势评估:以伊朗为例

本论文介绍了一项在决策中使用模糊逻辑的创新多标准风势评估研究。鉴于条件多样且缺乏综合研究,选择伊朗作为案例研究,并应用所提出的框架,研究了该国所有 559 个天气气象站。为评估确定了 14 项技术、生态环境和社会指标。每个指标的有效性都是通过相关文献和与当地专家的访谈来确定的。最后,在决策中使用模糊逻辑,对所有选定的站点和省份进行评分和排名。此外,还提供了考虑到社会和生态环境方面的伊朗各省的优先地图。所选站点的 还确定了开发海上和陆上风力发电厂的最终标准。结果表明,仅考虑技术条件可能会导致误导性结论,潜在的评估研究还必须考虑社会和生态环境标准。此外,结果表明,全国范围内对风能发展的同等支持政策会降低其效率。因此,应将能源战略编成法典,因地制宜地组织投资资源,提高立法效率,加快发展。结果表明,仅考虑技术条件可能会导致误导性结论,潜在的评估研究还必须考虑社会和生态环境标准。此外,结果表明,全国范围内对风能发展的同等支持政策会降低其效率。因此,应将能源战略编成法典,因地制宜地组织投资资源,提高立法效率,加快发展。结果表明,仅考虑技术条件可能会导致误导性结论,潜在的评估研究还必须考虑社会和生态环境标准。此外,结果表明,全国范围内对风能发展的同等支持政策会降低其效率。因此,应将能源战略编成法典,因地制宜地组织投资资源,提高立法效率,加快发展。
更新日期:2021-05-11
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