Damage prediction of existing buildings against natural events is a challenge for engineers. Although several approaches have been proposed in the bibliography for damage assessment of steel and concrete structures, more studies are required to survey the damage state of masonry buildings.

In this research, seismic damage of a historical masonry building, named Arge-Tabriz, has been assessed using region-specified simulated ground motion records. The main goal of the research is to predict the damage levels of Arge-Tabriz monument under probable earthquakes. Potential scenario earthquakes with different magnitudes are simulated to evaluate the seismic damage of the Arge-Tabriz building. For ground motion simulation of the scenario earthquakes, the stochastic finite-fault methodology, which employs a finite-fault approach comprised of point-source models, is used. The building is modeled using macro-modeling approach; and for the masonry material, concrete damaged plasticity constitutive model is utilized. After performing nonlinear dynamic analyses of the model in ABAQUS commercial software, the damage state of the building is assesses through failure area and failure volume methods, Park-Ang damage index, performance limits proposed by FEMA 356, and finally tensile damage variable DAMAGET as ABAQUS output variable. The accuracy of the employed numerical method is verified through comparison of the developed damage patterns with the existing damage patterns of the building. The results disclose that failure area and failure volume indices have the highest accuracy, while the drift limits of FEMA 356 have the lowest precision to predict the damage level of the building. The application of region-specific simulated scenario earthquakes reveals that the building has adequate strength to resist against weak seismic events and it experiences moderate damage, keeping up its whole stability under moderate potential events; while it is susceptible to collapse against severe earthquakes, and therefore, a rehabilitation scheme seems to be essential for preserving this valuable heritage.

对于自然灾害，现有建筑物的损坏预测对于工程师来说是一个挑战。尽管在参考书目中已经提出了几种方法来评估钢结构和混凝土结构的损坏，但仍需要进行更多的研究来调查砖石建筑的损坏状态。

在这项研究中，已使用区域指定的模拟地面运动记录评估了一座名为Arge-Tabriz的历史性砖石建筑的地震破坏。研究的主要目的是预测可能发生地震的Arge-Tabriz纪念碑的破坏程度。模拟了不同级别的潜在情景地震，以评估Arge-Tabriz建筑物的地震破坏。对于情景地震的地面运动模拟，使用了随机的有限故障方法，该方法采用由点源模型组成的有限故障方法。使用宏建模方法对建筑物进行建模；对于砌筑材料，采用混凝土破坏塑性本构模型。在ABAQUS商业软件中对模型进行非线性动力学分析后，通过破坏面积和破坏量方法，Park-Ang破坏指数，FEMA 356提出的性能极限以及最终的拉伸破坏变量DAMAGET作为ABAQUS输出变量来评估建筑物的破坏状态。通过将开发的损坏模式与建筑物的现有损坏模式进行比较，可以验证所采用数值方法的准确性。结果表明，破坏面积和破坏量指标具有最高的精度，而FEMA 356的漂移极限具有最低的预测建筑物损坏程度的精度。特定区域模拟情景地震的应用表明，该建筑物具有足够的强度来抵抗微弱的地震事件，并且遭受中等程度的破坏，在中等潜在事件下保持了其整体稳定性；