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Predictive validity of the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY) among a sample of Asian Canadian youth on probation.
Law and Human Behavior ( IF 3.870 ) Pub Date : 2020-12-01 , DOI: 10.1037/lhb0000431 Shanna M Y Li 1 , Jodi L Viljoen 1 , Aisha K Christiansen 1 , Nicole M Muir 2
Law and Human Behavior ( IF 3.870 ) Pub Date : 2020-12-01 , DOI: 10.1037/lhb0000431 Shanna M Y Li 1 , Jodi L Viljoen 1 , Aisha K Christiansen 1 , Nicole M Muir 2
Affiliation
OBJECTIVE
Although past studies suggest that the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY; Borum et al., 2006) has moderate predictive validity, its predictive validity with Asian youth in Western countries is unknown. We therefore compared the SAVRY's predictive validity in a sample of Asian Canadian versus White Canadian youth.
HYPOTHESES
Given that the SAVRY is normed on samples comprising mostly youth who are White, we expected its predictive validity for recidivism would be lower for Asian Canadians than White Canadians.
METHOD
We examined youth probation officers' SAVRY assessments for 573 youth (445 White Canadians, 56 East/Southeast Asian Canadians, and 72 South Asian Canadians) on community supervision (i.e. probation) in a Canadian province. Youth were prospectively followed for an average of 1.97 years (SD = 0.56 years) to determine if they were subsequently charged with violent or nonviolent offenses.
RESULTS
Asian Canadians scored significantly lower on risk total scores compared to White Canadians. Predictive validity for violent and nonviolent recidivism fell in the medium to large range for East/Southeast Asian Canadians (AUCs = .69 to .89) and South Asian Canadians (AUCs = .64 to .83). In comparison, predictive validity for White Canadians was generally lower (AUCs = .63 to .77; small to large range). Risk total scores and nonviolent risk ratings significantly predicted nonviolent recidivism better for East/Southeast Asian Canadians (AUCs = .89 and .87, respectively) than White Canadians (AUCs = .77 and .71, respectively). Despite few significant differences between Asian subgroups, predictive validity for nonviolent risk ratings was significantly higher in East/Southeast Asian Canadians (AUC = .87) than South Asian Canadians (AUC = .64).
CONCLUSIONS
The SAVRY may be a useful tool for predicting recidivism with Asian Canadians. However, future research should examine the SAVRY's predictive validity for youth of Asian descent in different countries and contexts. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).
中文翻译:
在加拿大亚裔青少年缓刑样本中,青少年结构性风险评估(SAVRY)的预测有效性。
目的尽管过去的研究表明,对青少年的暴力风险进行结构化评估(SAVRY; Borum等,2006)具有中等预测效度,但其对西方国家亚洲青年的预测效度尚不清楚。因此,我们在样本亚裔加拿大人与白人加拿大年轻人中比较了SAVRY的预测效度。假设鉴于SAVRY在大多数是白人的年轻人样本中得到规范,因此我们预计其对累犯的预测效度对于亚裔加拿大人而言将低于白人。方法我们调查了加拿大省内573名青年(445名加拿大白人,56名东亚/东南亚加拿大人和72名南亚加拿大人)的青年缓刑官员的SAVRY评估,这些评估涉及社区监督(即缓刑)。预期对青年的平均追踪时间为1.97年(SD = 0。56岁),以确定他们随后是否被指控犯有暴力罪或非暴力罪。结果与白人加拿大人相比,亚裔加拿大人在风险总分上的得分明显较低。对于东亚/东南亚加拿大人(AUC = 0.69至0.89)和南亚加拿大人(AUC = 0.64至0.83),暴力和非暴力累犯的预测效度在中到大范围内。相比之下,加拿大白人的预测有效性通常较低(AUC = 0.63至0.77;范围较小至较大)。风险总分和非暴力风险等级显着预测东亚/东南亚加拿大人(分别为.89和.87)的非暴力累犯要好于加拿大白人(分别为.77和.71)。尽管亚洲分组之间的差异不大,东亚/东南亚加拿大人(AUC = .87)对非暴力风险等级的预测效度显着高于南亚加拿大人(AUC = .64)。结论SAVRY可能是预测亚裔加拿大人累犯的有用工具。但是,未来的研究应该研究SAVRY对于不同国家和地区的亚裔后裔的预测有效性。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c)2021 APA,保留所有权利)。
更新日期:2020-12-01
中文翻译:
在加拿大亚裔青少年缓刑样本中,青少年结构性风险评估(SAVRY)的预测有效性。
目的尽管过去的研究表明,对青少年的暴力风险进行结构化评估(SAVRY; Borum等,2006)具有中等预测效度,但其对西方国家亚洲青年的预测效度尚不清楚。因此,我们在样本亚裔加拿大人与白人加拿大年轻人中比较了SAVRY的预测效度。假设鉴于SAVRY在大多数是白人的年轻人样本中得到规范,因此我们预计其对累犯的预测效度对于亚裔加拿大人而言将低于白人。方法我们调查了加拿大省内573名青年(445名加拿大白人,56名东亚/东南亚加拿大人和72名南亚加拿大人)的青年缓刑官员的SAVRY评估,这些评估涉及社区监督(即缓刑)。预期对青年的平均追踪时间为1.97年(SD = 0。56岁),以确定他们随后是否被指控犯有暴力罪或非暴力罪。结果与白人加拿大人相比,亚裔加拿大人在风险总分上的得分明显较低。对于东亚/东南亚加拿大人(AUC = 0.69至0.89)和南亚加拿大人(AUC = 0.64至0.83),暴力和非暴力累犯的预测效度在中到大范围内。相比之下,加拿大白人的预测有效性通常较低(AUC = 0.63至0.77;范围较小至较大)。风险总分和非暴力风险等级显着预测东亚/东南亚加拿大人(分别为.89和.87)的非暴力累犯要好于加拿大白人(分别为.77和.71)。尽管亚洲分组之间的差异不大,东亚/东南亚加拿大人(AUC = .87)对非暴力风险等级的预测效度显着高于南亚加拿大人(AUC = .64)。结论SAVRY可能是预测亚裔加拿大人累犯的有用工具。但是,未来的研究应该研究SAVRY对于不同国家和地区的亚裔后裔的预测有效性。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c)2021 APA,保留所有权利)。