We assess the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on the labour markets and economies of 16 SADC member states using a qualitative risk assessment on the basis of high-frequency Google Mobility data, monthly commodity price data, annual national accounts, and households survey labour market data. Our work highlights the ways in which these complementary datasets can be used by economists to conduct near real-time macroeconomic surveillance work covering labour market responses to macroeconomic shocks, including for seemingly information scarce African economies. We find that Angola, South Africa and Zimbabwe are at greatest risk across several labour market dimensions from the COVID-19 shock, followed by a second group of countries consisting of Comoros, DRC, Madagascar and Mauritius. Angola faces relatively less general employment risk than South Africa and Zimbabwe due to more muted decreases in mobility, though faces large pressure in its primary sector. These countries all face high risk in their youth populations, with Angola and Zimbabwe seeing high risks for women. South Africa faces more sector-specific risks in their secondary and tertiary sectors, as does Mauritius. Comoros, DRC and Madagascar all face high risks of employment loss for women and youth, with Comoros and Mauritius facing severe general employment risks.

中文翻译：

---

COVID-19 对 SADC 劳动力市场的影响：来自高频数据和其他来源的证据

我们使用基于高频谷歌移动数据、月度商品价格数据、年度国民账户的定性风险评估来评估2019 年冠状病毒病 (COVID-19) 大流行对南共体 16 个成员国的劳动力市场和经济的影响和家庭调查劳动力市场数据。我们的工作强调了经济学家可以使用这些互补数据集进行近实时宏观经济监测工作涵盖劳动力市场对宏观经济冲击的反应，包括看似信息匮乏的非洲经济体。我们发现安哥拉、南非和津巴布韦在 COVID-19 冲击的几个劳动力市场维度中面临的风险最大，其次是第二组国家，包括科摩罗、刚果民主共和国、马达加斯加和毛里求斯。与南非和津巴布韦相比，安哥拉面临的总体就业风险相对较小，因为流动性下降更为温和，但其初级部门面临巨大压力。这些国家的青年人口都面临高风险，其中安哥拉和津巴布韦的女性面临高风险。南非和毛里求斯一样，在其第二和第三产业面临更多特定部门的风险。科摩罗，