Since the 2008/09 Great Financial Crisis, we have witnessed a prolonged period of persistent global economic slowdown termed the “Great Stagnation”. This study examines how this “new normal” is associated with critical environmental dynamics (i.e., biodiversity, water, forest, agriculture, emissions) in areas and groups with different socio-environmental characteristics (i.e., income groups, continents, forest cover, biome, environmental performance index). Mixed results are shown. For instance, we find a deterioration in terrestrial and marine biodiversity, especially in middle- and high-income countries in Africa and Europe. This includes a reduction in the global fish stock, driven by countries in Africa. In contrast, the Great Stagnation is associated with reductions in PM_2.5 (lower- and upper mid-income countries), CH₄ emissions (upper mid-income countries and Europe), forest loss (upper mid-income countries and Asia), and increases in species habitat index (across most groupings). Our evidence indicates that periods of economic slowdown, such as the great stagnation, on their own cannot ensure a transition to a sustainable socio-environmental system and may be associated with significant negative environmental effects. Managing our transition to sustainability will require concerted policy efforts across multiple environmental domains, not only on carbon emissions, and during periods of both strong and weak economic growth rates.

中文翻译：

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大停滞与环境可持续性：多维视角

自 2008/09 年大金融危机以来，我们目睹了长期持续的全球经济放缓，被称为“大停滞”。本研究探讨了这种“新常态”如何与具有不同社会环境特征的地区和群体（即收入群体、大陆、森林覆盖、生物群落）的关键环境动态（即生物多样性、水、森林、农业、排放）相关联。 、环保性能指标）。显示了混合结果。例如，我们发现陆地和海洋生物多样性恶化，特别是在非洲和欧洲的中等和高收入国家。这包括在非洲国家的推动下全球鱼类资源的减少。相比之下，大停滞与 PM _{2.5 的}减少有关（中低收入和中高收入国家）、CH ₄排放（中高收入国家和欧洲）、森林丧失（中高收入国家和亚洲）以及物种栖息地指数的增加（跨大多数组别）。我们的证据表明，经济放缓时期（例如大停滞）本身并不能确保向可持续的社会环境系统过渡，并且可能与重大的负面环境影响有关。管理我们向可持续发展的过渡将需要在多个环境领域采取协调一致的政策努力，不仅在碳排放方面，而且在经济增长率强劲和疲软时期。