With a simultaneous increase in long-term care (LTC) facilities, elderly households in Japan are increasing with geographic dispersion. In this study, using the household panel survey, we examined the relationship between LTC facilities and the migration, particularly moving out, of elderly households from their respective houses and municipalities. The results show that house owners do not typically move out from their housing. Meanwhile, renters tend to stay in municipalities where LTC facilities are accessible. In particular, if the number of beds at LTC facilities per hundred elderly increases by 10 percentage points, the probability of the elderly to move decreases by about 0.35–0.37 percentage points. In municipalities where the new type of elderly facilities was introduced in 2011, owner households headed by people aged 60–65 years and renters headed by aged 60–65 years and 75 years and above reduced their residential mobility.

随着长期护理 (LTC) 设施的同时增加，日本的老年家庭随着地理分布的增加而增加。在这项研究中，使用家庭面板调查，我们研究了长期护理设施与老年家庭从各自的房屋和城市迁移，尤其是迁出之间的关系。结果表明，房主通常不会搬出他们的住房。与此同时，租房者倾向于留在可以使用 LTC 设施的城市。特别是，如果每百名老人的长期护理设施床位数量增加 10 个百分点，老人搬家的概率会下降约 0.35-0.37 个百分点。在 2011 年引进新型养老设施的市镇中，