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Crime Concentration and Temporal Stability in Spatial Patterns of Crime in Niš, Serbia
European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research ( IF 2.227 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-26 , DOI: 10.1007/s10610-021-09486-3
Dušan Stanković

The research objectives were to examine the concentration of crime and its temporal patterns in Niš and compare the related research results in spatial criminology. Longitudinal property and violent crime data were geocoded and assigned to three types of grid cells. Descriptive statistics were used to examine crime concentration, and spatial stability of crime was tested using a spatial point pattern test. The findings suggest an intense concentration of all crime types within all areal units and years of study. The higher rates of concentration were found in the analysis of less common robbery and violent crime. Findings of spatial pattern analysis suggest moderate to a high degree of similarity in spatial patterns among all crime types. However, sensitivity analysis indicates significant changes in the spatial distribution of both property and violent crime. Therefore, an alternative method is applied. Theoretical implications are discussed, highlighting routine activities and crime pattern theory. The study aims to instigate more spatial analysis of crime and evidence-based criminal policies within the region.



中文翻译:

塞尔维亚尼什的犯罪集中度和犯罪空间格局中的时间稳定性

研究目的是研究尼什市犯罪的集中程度及其时态,并比较空间犯罪学的相关研究成果。纵向财产和暴力犯罪数据经过地理编码,并分配给三种类型的网格。描述性统计数据用于检查犯罪集中度,并使用空间点模式检验对犯罪的空间稳定性进行检验。研究结果表明,所有犯罪类型都集中在所有区域单位和研究年份中。在对较不常见的抢劫和暴力犯罪的分析中发现集中度较高。空间格局分析的结果表明,所有犯罪类型之间的空间格局具有中等到高度的相似性。然而,敏感性分析表明,财产和暴力犯罪的空间分布都发生了重大变化。因此,应用了替代方法。讨论了理论意义,重点介绍了日常活动和犯罪模式理论。该研究旨在促进对该区域内犯罪和基于证据的犯罪政策进行更多的空间分析。

更新日期:2021-04-27
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