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Economic Analysis for Investment of Public Sector’s Automated Container Terminal: Korean Case Study
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering ( IF 2.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-23 , DOI: 10.3390/jmse9050459
Yohan An , Namkyu Park

The purpose of this case study is to conduct an economic analysis to calculate the proper terminal capacity of automated container terminal (ACT) investment from the perspective of the public sector. As a key element of smart port, the ACT is an important terminal operating facility for import/export and transshipment cargo between countries and must have facilities with sufficient capacity to load/unload export/import cargo in a timely manner according to the user’s request. Recently, the method of calculating the capacity of seaport infrastructure is changing from the method of applying the maximum capacity to the method of applying the proper capacity. Therefore, it is desirable to expand port facilities by investigating proper capacity rather than expanding port facilities based on the maximum performance. This study is a case study focusing on the new port of Busan introducing the ACT. From the perspective of national fiscal income and national economy from the ACT investment, this study determines the proper terminal capacity for each berth. As a result of economic analysis, the break-even terminal capacity to secure economic feasibility is from 544,272TEU of the nine berths to 600,138TEU of two berths applying a 2.96% discount ratio. In a sensitivity analysis considering the social discount rate and the change in the size of berths, the net present value has a positive value from a minimum of 530,000 TEU (nine berths with 1.96% social discount ratio) to a maximum of 620,000 TEU (three berths with 3.46% social discount ratio).

中文翻译:

公共部门自动集装箱码头投资的经济分析:韩国案例研究

本案例研究的目的是从公共部门的角度进行经济分析,以计算自动集装箱码头(ACT)投资的适当码头容量。ACT是智能港的重要组成部分,是国家之间进出口货物的重要码头操作设施,并且必须具有足够的能力根据用户要求及时装卸进出口货物。近来,计算海港基础设施容量的方法正在从应用最大容量的方法改变为应用适当容量的方法。因此,期望通过研究适当的容量来扩展港口设施,而不是基于最大性能来扩展港口设施。这项研究是针对釜山新港引进ACT的案例研究。从ACT投资的国家财政收入和国民经济的角度来看,本研究确定了每个泊位的适当码头容量。经济分析的结果是,确保经济可行性的收支平衡终端容量从9个泊位的544,272TEU到两个泊位的600,138TEU的价格(折现率为2.96%)。在考虑社会折现率和泊位大小变化的敏感性分析中,净现值具有正值,从最小530,000 TEU(9个泊位,社会折现率为1.96%)到最大620,000 TEU(三个)社交折扣率达3.46%的泊位)。从ACT投资的国家财政收入和国民经济的角度来看,本研究确定了每个泊位的适当码头容量。经济分析的结果是,确保经济可行性的收支平衡终端容量从9个泊位的544,272TEU到两个泊位的600,138TEU的价格(折现率为2.96%)。在考虑社会折现率和泊位大小变化的敏感性分析中,净现值具有正值,从最小530,000 TEU(9个泊位,社会折现率为1.96%)到最大620,000 TEU(三个)社交折扣率达3.46%的泊位)。从ACT投资的国家财政收入和国民经济的角度来看,本研究确定了每个泊位的适当码头容量。经济分析的结果是,确保经济可行性的收支平衡终端容量从9个泊位的544,272TEU到两个泊位的600,138TEU的价格(折现率为2.96%)。在考虑社会折现率和泊位大小变化的敏感性分析中,净现值具有正值,从最小530,000 TEU(9个泊位,社会折现率为1.96%)到最大620,000 TEU(三个)社交折扣率达3.46%的泊位)。九个泊位的272TEU至两个泊位的600,138TEU的折扣率为2.96%。在考虑社会折现率和泊位大小变化的敏感性分析中,净现值具有正值,从最小530,000 TEU(9个泊位,社会折现率为1.96%)到最大620,000 TEU(三个)社交折扣率达3.46%的泊位)。九个泊位的272TEU至两个泊位的600,138TEU的折扣率为2.96%。在考虑社会折现率和泊位大小变化的敏感性分析中,净现值具有正值,从最小530,000 TEU(9个泊位,社会折现率为1.96%)到最大620,000 TEU(三个)社交折扣率达3.46%的泊位)。
更新日期:2021-04-23
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